TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc965…c8ec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Plovdiv 2: Petr Brunclik vs Lorenzo Carbonibacked Lorenzo Carboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$535
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$469.23
Generali Open, Qualification: Niklas Waldner vs Laslo Djerebacked Niklas Waldner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.8
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,376.76
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovicbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$988.63
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Serena Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,449.56
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Xiyu Wangbacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,042.5
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,942.85
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.94
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodarbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,267.29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$950.97
Huzhou: Xiaodi You vs Jiajing Lubacked Xiaodi You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$962.47
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruudbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.05
Madrid Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$750.18
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Rublev (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+307.4%+$1,467.33
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sunbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.2
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Dominika Salkova vs Tatjana Mariabacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$462.01
BNP Paribas Open: Talia Gibson vs Clara Tausonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+451.8%+$2,421.78
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+164.9%+$1,642.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Braga reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$897.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.