TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,001,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,872,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,001,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 5,359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes12c1,226,490$144,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144,495.362857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes12c647,702$78,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,754.963234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bd3…5f68backed Yes40c346,521$138,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138,998.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes34c296,405$99,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,93917634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes25c285,609$71,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,758.943537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes26c279,423$73,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,958.092927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-50.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes31c272,309$83,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,692.873540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11fc…dc48backed Yes12c249,125$29,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,418.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No54c155,143$83,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,982.7624846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes17c130,000$22,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,099.9415344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes23c126,632$29,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,283.515552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a88…b859backed No67c108,990$73,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,939.24850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes28c104,307$29,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,311.696939.1%27 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa96c…a59cbacked Yes19c101,454$19,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,670.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes32c95,151$30,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,770.491361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes40c90,645$36,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,488.54825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-59.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes40c87,614$35,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,106.17812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-79.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes14c85,347$11,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,827.924841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78c6…4710backed Yes20c84,898$16,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,791.972010%2 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-79.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Yes23c79,775$18,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,733.261656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9265…2cc0backed Yes58c79,305$46,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa77…563bbacked Yes24c78,881$19,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,113.86333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-39.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes28c78,227$21,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,955.131747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeac4…c1ddbacked Yes37c77,820$28,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,635425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-61.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes11c68,001$7,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,387.4715233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b0…209bbacked Yes21c66,957$14,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,061.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes34c66,823$22,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,860.026437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes13c60,561$8,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,039.9235652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes9c56,312$5,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,054.151811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-66.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes8c54,338$4,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,489.5116848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Yes25c52,837$13,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,015.122441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed Yes31c52,707$16,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,270.13580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes3c52,685$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Yes31c49,373$15,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,392.461540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f86…9147backed Yes19c47,738$9,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,004.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes18c47,638$8,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,626.262941.4%12 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x15b3…b15ebacked Yes14c44,784$6,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,417.421145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bde…8c91backed Yes12c44,000$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,280633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes15c43,098$6,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,279.981414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes37c42,087$15,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,772.172250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes40c40,674$16,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,362.245646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes24c39,754$9,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,555.964766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f45…180bbacked Yes21c39,543$8,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,340.025226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3e…f426backed Yes50c39,314$19,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Yes20c37,908$7,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,517.586346%29 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1686…c3f9backed Yes14c35,714$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes38c35,000$13,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,239.783125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa275…def7backed Yes24c32,704$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes23c31,735$7,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,370.565944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes17c31,162$5,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,448.3113832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb9…9dd0backed Yes22c30,390$6,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,764.691752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a1…f032backed No60c30,096$18,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0481266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes26c29,614$7,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,685.3222125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes34c27,894$9,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,486.522540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3511…e3bdbacked Yes18c27,763$4,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ae…6643backed Yes42c27,326$11,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,599.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes37c26,398$9,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,844.984264.3%27 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe558…8de9backed Yes29c24,481$7,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,196.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a56…adabbacked Yes20c24,335$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,980.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes32c23,036$7,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,381.692626.9%7 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b74…e8d7backed No80c22,428$17,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,505.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+53%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51e8…b243backed Yes23c22,387$5,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,148.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes14c22,222$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,111.0860%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes25c22,000$5,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,579.991931.6%6 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca1…dd13backed Yes40c20,840$8,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,332.54966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df4…9723backed Yes12c20,261$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb032…6977backed Yes16c19,645$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Yes12c19,480$2,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,351.253548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes31c19,038$5,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,844.743231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2aa…b3cfbacked Yes13c18,839$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked No62c18,779$11,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,212.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes22c18,175$3,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,937.0913829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes15c17,454$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.382540%10 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa968…aa45backed Yes28c17,397$4,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,926.86540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked No65c17,328$11,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,064.73837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick20cpaid-22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes49c17,207$8,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,474.773040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c16,569$5,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,316.0556241.5%233 W · 329 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe574…22f9backed Yes17c16,330$2,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,823.041040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21af…7186backed Yes22c16,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,519.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46ee…ae61backed Yes13c15,836$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick30cpaid+99%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No64c15,419$9,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,481.323250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes19c15,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.912653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa03…2927backed Yes25c14,675$3,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,666.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes19c14,575$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,731.63444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+77.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Yes19c14,383$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,722.27616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-75.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…ff3ebacked Yes23c14,366$3,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3101526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3665…0212backed Yes18c14,202$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.0211444.7%51 W · 63 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b91…8e2abacked Yes14c14,017$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed No72c13,796$10,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,794.642646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x621e…6510backed Yes36c13,702$4,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,864.871650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8548…ac0cbacked Yes15c13,457$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Yes30c13,412$4,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,023.553842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd3…7a5abacked Yes39c13,411$5,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,164.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes25c13,403$3,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,378.3779639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3f…3dc7backed Yes18c13,333$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc342…4c32backed Yes27c13,247$3,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,591.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes16c13,109$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.5125329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes22c12,564$2,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,801.8322834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes19c12,467$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.6812324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a11…b974backed Yes42c12,313$5,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,127520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.