Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e2484f2f94720b76d9380f26a35a64a2fe0e638467d4840c2a6ac7d879149e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,360,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,685,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,360,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 4,083,641$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.44 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -95.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…4710backed Yes | 0c | 521,273$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.27 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 379,126$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.32 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 315,657$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.27 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…0b57backed Yes | 0c | 248,249$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…0d36backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7043…1425backed Yes | 0c | 145,021$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…3501backed Yes | 0c | 139,657$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 135,814$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.81 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…3a2ebacked Yes | 0c | 122,058$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes | 0c | 113,545$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 0c | 98,999$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…45a3backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…ede1backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…ec61backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…7c7abacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1655…de52backed Yes | 0c | 21,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 20,077$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…39f2backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd783…1b99backed Yes | 0c | 17,842$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…bca7backed Yes | 0c | 16,250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…c59bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,531$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…eb22backed Yes | 0c | 11,111$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cb…9f08backed Yes | 0c | 10,480$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…5046backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…3ecebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd497…cf2dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…a4abbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2c…7a85backed Yes | 0c | 9,495$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d17…2032backed Yes | 0c | 9,280$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…159dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,679$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…af3dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,142$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…933dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,750$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…230bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,640$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c11…b2a4backed Yes | 0c | 6,400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…cafebacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7f98backed Yes | 0c | 5,834$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…558fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,501$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0995…c83ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7f…a967backed Yes | 0c | 5,140$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 0c | 4,990$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 4,649$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 4,043$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 0c | 3,141$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5866…0195backed Yes | 0c | 2,721$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?this page
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.