TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,919,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,439,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,919,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c5,742,142$6,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,462.61313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-95.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c6…4710backed Yes0c339,667$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.332010%2 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-79.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42bf…bb46backed Yes0c246,870$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c227,973$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.39917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes0c200,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-75.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…1d0abacked Yes0c143,471$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.85520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-74.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c133,974$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1520819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes0c98,441$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.13180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39ba…f38bbacked Yes0c89,920$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd281…d750backed Yes0c59,023$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c55,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55180%0 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c51,000$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51375.4%2 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-79.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf3…45a3backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3955…74cabacked Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb160…9681backed Yes0c46,398$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cca…cdf9backed Yes0c46,333$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1bb…9916backed Yes0c46,280$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd06…1a53backed Yes0c46,169$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2836…3552backed Yes0c46,116$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes0c40,571$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.57170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe959…7c7abacked Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes0c28,615$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.851811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-66.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes0c26,352$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-80.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f2…39f2backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd6…f1b4backed Yes0c24,091$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ea…2f64backed Yes0c23,333$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc5…c2eebacked Yes0c23,333$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…1116backed Yes0c23,260$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9774…817cbacked Yes0c23,241$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1116…82ebbacked Yes0c23,100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec9…3145backed Yes0c22,764$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b0…2413backed Yes0c22,299$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe426…7e64backed Yes0c21,998$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1973…9fb5backed Yes0c21,526$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf4b…939fbacked Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd747…b5acbacked Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x165a…abeebacked Yes0c19,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf165…6725backed Yes0c18,500$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x319b…a41dbacked Yes0c18,500$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd7f…c821backed Yes0c17,901$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1b…5d60backed Yes0c17,736$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e6…c5a8backed Yes0c17,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x925a…115cbacked Yes0c17,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b9…70aebacked Yes0c17,265$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.53520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d79…37f4backed Yes0c16,500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3d…498abacked Yes0c15,255$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.773630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b3…7cc2backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-44.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce0…ec61backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43db…7249backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc114…2e35backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463a…d863backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x023b…40dfbacked Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3759…639abacked Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd0…d823backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1155…7902backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c5…8e92backed Yes0c14,750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x516b…1fafbacked Yes0c14,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f4…28f8backed Yes0c14,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0167…2d82backed Yes0c13,800$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b2…e801backed Yes0c12,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c12,468$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.37500%0 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes0c12,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333%1 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-94.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6565…2c02backed Yes0c12,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-78.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b6f…b078backed Yes0c11,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce5b…047abacked Yes0c10,711$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8e…3de0backed Yes0c10,711$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22df…909abacked Yes0c10,550$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b09…a615backed Yes0c10,500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94d…899cbacked Yes0c10,500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x241f…ef50backed Yes0c10,034$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cab…d5f7backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa525…bd91backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f3…b925backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aba…fc32backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84da…b692backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ee2…f9f5backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd497…cf2dbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b2…6c13backed Yes0c8,795$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e0…8ed8backed Yes0c8,415$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes0c8,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc45b…03ddbacked Yes0c8,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf1c…0ab8backed Yes0c7,965$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b88…c2adbacked Yes0c7,775$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0e…5c81backed Yes0c7,665$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f90…db6abacked Yes0c7,614$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1010…1a71backed Yes0c7,542$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0bc…a2c7backed Yes0c7,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b57…f210backed Yes0c7,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c26…c722backed Yes0c7,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa338…e0cbbacked Yes0c7,479$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes0c7,440$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.321020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-68.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb11…f896backed Yes0c7,230$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4d…33b9backed Yes0c7,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9657…110bbacked Yes0c7,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f63…ddaebacked Yes0c7,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2432…7fb0backed Yes0c6,920$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac8c…df16backed Yes0c6,920$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf7f…22c9backed Yes0c6,750$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00b5…df5bbacked Yes0c6,747$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.