TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,852,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,471,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,852,720 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c3,893,248$4,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,143.25313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-95.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c658,335$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.720819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes0c600,129$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.32180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6b…e809backed Yes0c413,605$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c362,655$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.319917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75f…2687backed Yes0c201,216$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Yes0c195,667$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5874348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff47…d81fbacked Yes0c105,092$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.28520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-64.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes0c99,972$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9219729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe660…9ac6backed Yes0c94,754$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.26540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d5…1d27backed Yes0c83,296$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8960%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes0c81,675$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes0c75,718$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.441428.6%4 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa26…c232backed Yes0c75,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes0c70,641$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.92616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes0c70,389$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.247746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05c5…1d0abacked Yes0c69,686$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.37520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-74.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481e…d896backed Yes0c68,651$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes0c67,095$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.288631.4%27 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3006…6f28backed Yes0c50,365$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5600…af97backed Yes0c50,057$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes0c50,000$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a42…d013backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e7…6602backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e3…cc32backed Yes0c46,221$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1655…de52backed Yes0c46,000$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf5a…dfe1backed Yes0c45,830$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes0c44,536$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7427846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c41,000$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62375.4%2 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-79.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a5…59e7backed Yes0c37,000$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.31010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x303b…53cabacked Yes0c36,966$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.93812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid-51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked Yes0c31,910$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.73837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick20cpaid-22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fbe…a1d6backed Yes0c31,483$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c31,446$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.89180%0 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b33…5c4dbacked Yes2c28,248$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9e…aad3backed Yes0c27,490$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4138…2a24backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7b…5485backed Yes1c21,762$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd856…a5afbacked Yes0c21,000$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d80…0eb9backed Yes0c20,200$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes1c18,186$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.41200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0afe…f6f4backed Yes1c18,084$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbce0…ec61backed Yes0c18,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…fafcbacked Yes0c16,876$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcff0…d3b3backed Yes0c15,375$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49a8…7153backed Yes0c12,628$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2640%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ac…6e16backed Yes1c11,800$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.81926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd950…4fafbacked Yes0c11,798$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes0c11,705$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.56333%1 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-94.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1822…0e6abacked Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4840…41f3backed Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7d7…1251backed Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes0c9,835$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5200%0 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eea…e02cbacked Yes0c8,658$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef77…1bdbbacked Yes0c8,639$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb8…4ef9backed Yes1c8,600$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7cf…8523backed Yes0c8,378$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes0c8,306$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.44229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-71.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d9e…3a2ebacked Yes0c8,155$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c8,091$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83780%0 W · 78 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9499…e4a1backed Yes0c7,968$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e2…b823backed Yes0c7,718$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e1…cd94backed Yes0c7,687$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8656…7309backed Yes0c7,635$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa265…a432backed Yes0c7,453$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff2…aa11backed Yes0c7,394$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x866b…1bcdbacked Yes1c7,343$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb25b…7987backed Yes0c7,262$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21a8…54d7backed Yes0c7,253$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6edb…7bfdbacked Yes0c7,248$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ee…d2e7backed Yes0c7,223$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75d8…c711backed Yes0c7,200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6755…4c5dbacked Yes0c7,170$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x672e…5c03backed Yes0c7,149$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9024…1da4backed Yes0c6,890$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa370…e43cbacked Yes0c6,800$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2149…cc65backed Yes0c6,758$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a5f…1f91backed Yes0c6,720$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes0c6,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207356.2%41 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed Yes0c6,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a1…90bfbacked Yes0c6,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes1c6,558$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8325329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…9b24backed Yes0c6,535$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x560a…ced0backed Yes0c6,435$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365a…6d90backed Yes0c6,288$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2219…a5e9backed Yes0c6,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c5,948$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.34500%0 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e1…0b38backed Yes0c5,867$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a9d…75edbacked Yes0c5,772$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b31…79a0backed Yes0c5,759$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb87d…d486backed Yes0c5,667$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f07…e5aebacked Yes0c5,555$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ab…bbf7backed Yes0c5,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a07…2009backed Yes0c5,470$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed Yes0c5,093$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30dd…cbfdbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-85.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2282…c7c1backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-52.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae4…d0d0backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-90.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.