Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x300603cf45c00af47424fffe1a012708d7c8d5f9830c0365c3bbc2f5924cc67d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,860,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,635,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,860,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 6,006,218$6,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,082.76 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -95.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 400,508$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.5 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 342,566$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.13 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…4710backed Yes | 0c | 286,314$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.31 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes | 0c | 270,170$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f7…6ababacked Yes | 0c | 262,776$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 0c | 213,437$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.75 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5d…a9cebacked Yes | 0c | 178,610$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61e…794cbacked Yes | 0c | 174,000$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…1d71backed Yes | 0c | 169,625$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x665b…f4d1backed Yes | 0c | 158,833$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 158,123$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d8…7853backed Yes | 0c | 148,021$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…3501backed Yes | 0c | 142,993$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86e…b9e1backed Yes | 0c | 141,128$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…6415backed Yes | 1c | 140,271$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…93e2backed Yes | 0c | 135,392$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…c944backed Yes | 0c | 133,716$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…1bbfbacked Yes | 0c | 127,186$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ad66backed Yes | 0c | 126,882$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed76…44cfbacked Yes | 0c | 115,526$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c69…8ce2backed Yes | 0c | 109,505$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a42…d013backed Yes | 0c | 107,500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…6d8fbacked Yes | 0c | 106,051$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 102,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7840…a2abbacked Yes | 0c | 101,807$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…d40dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 0c | 98,999$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x121a…f0cdbacked Yes | 0c | 96,798$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15c…ca3ebacked Yes | 0c | 87,000$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd5…8d77backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…1d0abacked Yes | 0c | 71,310$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 59,331$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1655…de52backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…8635backed Yes | 0c | 45,776$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d58…68bbbacked Yes | 0c | 45,185$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…2a24backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…7c7abacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…3fbabacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…2c02backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…8d81backed Yes | 0c | 23,996$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…30b2backed Yes | 0c | 22,622$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…39f2backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…10a9backed Yes | 0c | 18,717$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…4111backed Yes | 0c | 17,973$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54cc…34b8backed Yes | 0c | 17,488$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…6242backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…5046backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620a…4a63backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…eb3dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,550$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…8646backed Yes | 0c | 8,640$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1b…dae7backed Yes | 0c | 7,876$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec72…6faebacked Yes | 0c | 7,818$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…1ad6backed Yes | 0c | 7,782$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4305…7161backed Yes | 0c | 7,750$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…0fddbacked Yes | 0c | 7,738$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…c731backed Yes | 0c | 7,647$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ed…e4acbacked Yes | 0c | 7,507$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc6…e756backed Yes | 0c | 7,495$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…96bfbacked Yes | 0c | 7,300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934b…7134backed Yes | 0c | 7,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4661…2933backed Yes | 0c | 6,925$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…31ecbacked Yes | 0c | 6,745$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…5927backed Yes | 0c | 6,657$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02d…0313backed Yes | 0c | 6,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…e809backed Yes | 0c | 5,900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2648…96c2backed Yes | 0c | 5,785$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4942…0028backed Yes | 0c | 5,505$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…f4ffbacked Yes | 0c | 5,250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…d0d0backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 0c | 4,936$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4656…2a8bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,915$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…bf45backed Yes | 0c | 3,915$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9174…d0bfbacked Yes | 0c | 3,915$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 3,775$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 3,686$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?this page
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.