Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x536ee0e8926c58f8b14f08ff6769dcf01ecb64716e598c12d1d1335af287a198
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,463,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,729,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,463,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 2,894,685$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.6 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -95.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…4710backed Yes | 0c | 524,989$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 306,495$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.27 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 221,716$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.43 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…0d36backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…d81fbacked Yes | 0c | 180,356$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…45a3backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes | 0c | 88,098$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…47cebacked Yes | 0c | 58,780$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 51,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b06…14a7backed Yes | 0c | 24,410$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…5201backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9d…35f8backed Yes | 0c | 18,667$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93da…433cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,718$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…3f50backed Yes | 0c | 17,676$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…3f64backed Yes | 0c | 17,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ec…fbb9backed Yes | 0c | 16,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…5ccbbacked Yes | 0c | 16,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6275…4b6cbacked Yes | 0c | 16,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb1…5f4cbacked Yes | 0c | 16,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…ec61backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d52…0685backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…462abacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…bae5backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca3…7cb4backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…3a2ebacked Yes | 0c | 13,589$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 12,238$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…a2c7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…37d6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…d87ebacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfee…1cf0backed Yes | 0c | 7,482$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 7,238$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…f02cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…e459backed Yes | 0c | 6,774$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d11…465ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,733$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222e…4944backed Yes | 0c | 6,666$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…d18fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,655$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc96…22f1backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df9…ea99backed Yes | 0c | 5,610$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…2a18backed Yes | 0c | 5,600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6a…7b02backed Yes | 0c | 5,600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…3458backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…d0d0backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…899cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…36cdbacked Yes | 0c | 4,527$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c7…40ccbacked Yes | 0c | 4,388$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a44…1fdabacked Yes | 0c | 3,967$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…4b66backed Yes | 0c | 3,833$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…6c6fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…4162backed Yes | 0c | 3,667$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…7309backed Yes | 0c | 3,637$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…7fa2backed Yes | 0c | 3,614$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?this page
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.