TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,010,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,039,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,010,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 622 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c1,268,101$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,462.58375.4%2 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-79.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c434,921$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.8113832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes0c370,445$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.0715344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae4…d303backed Yes0c235,725$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+52.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75f…2687backed Yes4c200,870$7,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,838.021729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes1c188,211$2,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.834139%16 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes0c183,487$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.4940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes1c153,299$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.5970%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e9…88e5backed Yes0c150,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefd…4f2abacked Yes3c145,108$4,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,340.311118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes1c144,374$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.21229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-71.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c140,431$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.520819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes1c123,332$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.992810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-75.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes1c115,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.38825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-59.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e1…b30fbacked Yes1c110,000$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.261770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+78.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x78c6…4710backed Yes1c108,659$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.192010%2 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-79.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc27e…18edbacked Yes1c101,672$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes1c101,321$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.725329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x319e…5a9cbacked Yes0c93,480$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b4d…ae93backed Yes1c90,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.59560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa03f…a7dabacked Yes3c84,794$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.991136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc93a…069abacked Yes1c82,288$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfd…bd9dbacked Yes6c81,481$4,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,772.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes1c80,331$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.52170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02e9…368cbacked Yes1c70,344$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes3c67,937$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.46140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51aa…10dabacked Yes1c61,569$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9775…8746backed Yes1c52,721$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.395226.9%14 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4940…e353backed Yes2c50,459$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.55540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b55…7d76backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked Yes3c49,355$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c48,500$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7654340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e48…f025backed Yes0c45,810$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.811952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70dd…a4e3backed Yes2c43,675$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.66742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes1c41,534$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab06…689bbacked Yes2c40,010$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c7…51f4backed Yes2c37,944$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32dc…5e43backed Yes2c36,363$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa1…53f6backed Yes1c35,967$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Yes2c35,922$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8503450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c34,951$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.6311628.4%33 W · 83 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c34,348$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.83240%0 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae9…f1a1backed Yes1c34,346$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ac…6e16backed Yes1c32,228$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.71926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd675…153dbacked Yes0c31,855$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6271…784ebacked Yes1c31,649$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.79911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-77.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf178…c931backed Yes0c30,477$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0632…57f6backed Yes1c28,992$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f46…dbfebacked Yes1c28,686$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+51.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes2c27,884$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.4210827.8%30 W · 78 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe085…5474backed Yes2c25,276$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.184418.2%8 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-53.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a85…3c54backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce2…380bbacked Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ac…f5d7backed Yes2c25,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes1c24,509$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.92425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-60.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd30b…0bbcbacked Yes2c22,476$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c22,380$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.372037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…c231backed Yes0c21,615$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.86616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-77.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2944…c5f0backed Yes4c21,432$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes1c21,347$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c0…156abacked Yes5c20,978$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3678…b6e0backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes1c20,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4421…80d2backed Yes0c20,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f64…52d2backed Yes1c19,548$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x231d…6e56backed Yes0c19,373$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…255fbacked Yes0c19,098$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8bb…27f9backed Yes1c18,329$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17c0…c49bbacked Yes2c18,282$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.3150%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccb…d731backed Yes1c17,850$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes2c17,078$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.365944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e17…e4c6backed Yes0c16,626$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.25728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-54.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b8…7d2ebacked Yes1c16,347$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec80…2cd7backed Yes0c15,726$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ba…f723backed Yes1c15,586$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf743…d386backed Yes1c15,100$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc08b…e35bbacked Yes2c15,019$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid+16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4043…05e9backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc062…cc13backed Yes0c14,981$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4880%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe59…8ce4backed Yes1c14,600$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd164…d0abbacked Yes3c14,494$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes1c14,323$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.77200%0 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes1c14,169$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.982941.4%12 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d9e…3a2ebacked Yes1c13,536$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x070e…9df1backed Yes1c13,141$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes0c13,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4196…f997backed Yes2c12,945$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2461520%3 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8bf…1119backed Yes2c12,835$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b3…4bd3backed Yes1c12,517$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes2c12,462$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.933444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+77.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb680…c893backed Yes2c12,026$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003613.9%5 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes1c11,958$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x107c…3ef7backed Yes1c11,894$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eee…74e8backed Yes0c11,666$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ee…1128backed Yes0c11,500$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eea…c324backed Yes1c11,395$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e83…7fefbacked Yes2c10,978$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa712…9cf2backed Yes0c10,510$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…af27backed Yes1c10,350$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6524…dbbbbacked Yes2c10,334$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.