TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x107c…3ef7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Champions League, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$22.94
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$320.41
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$359.09
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.45
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.23
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$73.21
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.28
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.95
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.78
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$32.15
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$34.22
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.07
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$62.82
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$282.73
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$159
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$48.07
Spread: Hawks (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$57
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Spread: Pacers (-9.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$66.51
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$137.5
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$64.34
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$458
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$299
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+52.1%+$103.55
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$16.1
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$49.84
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$138.16
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$122.82
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$550
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$208.34
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$995.47
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$900
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?backed Avatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$151.28
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+558.3%+$2,372.78
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$91.92
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$173.51
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.93
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.96
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-70.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$347.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saski Baskonia vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$362.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.