Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeee2a3747dacff0068b3dfa6ce13c9ee1e8918b800d03b33359eba48c9161f9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Iron Wing, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,971,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,540,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,971,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 879 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Spirit | 53c | 128,430$67,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,446.96 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Iron Wing | 36c | 106,254$37,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,834.72 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Iron Wing | 50c | 61,630$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Spirit | 65c | 42,244$27,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,575.49 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89a6…429abacked Iron Wing | 47c | 38,200$17,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,826.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 33,983$20,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,654.71 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 33,308$19,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,401.97 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Iron Wing | 46c | 29,992$13,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,796.54 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Team Spirit | 58c | 29,923$17,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,716.4 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Spirit | 45c | 29,174$13,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,070.68 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 27,697$14,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,916.27 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9100…7adebacked Iron Wing | 60c | 26,426$15,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,755.22 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…b18ebacked Team Spirit | 47c | 24,639$11,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,058.49 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Iron Wing | 35c | 21,093$7,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,373.29 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fb…bd68backed Team Spirit | 68c | 20,298$13,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,466.48 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Spirit | 49c | 20,075$9,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,301.4 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 19,931$10,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,544.77 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 62c | 19,320$12,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,299.5 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Iron Wing | 49c | 18,000$8,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,908.69 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 17,030$8,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,653.33 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Iron Wing | 38c | 16,975$6,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,449.18 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Iron Wing | 47c | 16,400$7,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,708 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Spirit | 54c | 14,330$7,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,591.61 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Iron Wing | 29c | 14,235$4,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,174.8 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Team Spirit | 62c | 14,109$8,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,309.94 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Iron Wing | 39c | 14,088$5,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,501.86 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…4f8abacked Iron Wing | 49c | 12,748$6,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,246.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Iron Wing | 48c | 12,500$6,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,034.95 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Iron Wing | 41c | 11,921$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,876.55 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 50c | 11,010$5,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,547.01 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit | 71c | 10,176$7,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.82 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Spirit | 63c | 10,133$6,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,716.79 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Iron Wing | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.98 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Spirit | 61c | 9,791$5,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.51 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Team Spirit | 64c | 9,767$6,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.05 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed Team Spirit | 62c | 8,356$5,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.91 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 8,279$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.05 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Iron Wing | 47c | 8,179$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.36 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Spirit | 59c | 8,156$4,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,367.53 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Iron Wing | 52c | 7,402$3,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…1c22backed Team Spirit | 59c | 7,313$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.05 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Iron Wing | 71c | 7,017$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Iron Wing | 50c | 6,555$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.19 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Iron Wing | 46c | 6,292$2,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.76 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Iron Wing | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.99 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Iron Wing | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.97 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Iron Wing | 46c | 5,926$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.37 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Iron Wing | 47c | 5,500$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 5,356$4,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.29 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Iron Wing | 43c | 5,306$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.85 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Iron Wing | 36c | 5,271$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.64 | 322 | 41.6%134 W · 188 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked Team Spirit | 56c | 5,122$2,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.02 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 5,120$3,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.26 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Team Spirit | 68c | 5,052$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.52 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…52c2backed Team Spirit | 75c | 5,050$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Iron Wing | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…637abacked Team Spirit | 60c | 4,864$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.32 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Spirit | 46c | 4,673$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.07 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Iron Wing | 38c | 4,652$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.09 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 4,644$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.66 | 65 | 81.5%53 W · 12 L | +10.2wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked Iron Wing | 42c | 4,642$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.57 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Spirit | 60c | 4,629$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.95 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Iron Wing | 47c | 4,611$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Team Spirit | 52c | 4,539$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.01 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 4,474$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.01 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Spirit | 58c | 4,451$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.18 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Team Spirit | 58c | 4,292$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.61 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 4,273$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.45 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Iron Wing | 3c | 4,255$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.77 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Team Spirit | 60c | 4,229$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.25 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 4,181$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.92 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 4,044$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.51 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 4,008$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.8 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Iron Wing | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Iron Wing | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Iron Wing | 50c | 3,977$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Iron Wing | 42c | 3,974$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.53 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Iron Wing | 53c | 3,962$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Spirit | 47c | 3,917$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.77 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7537…bee1backed Team Spirit | 63c | 3,905$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Iron Wing | 42c | 3,813$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.65 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 3,808$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.91 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Iron Wing | 36c | 3,752$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.35 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…1e02backed Iron Wing | 52c | 3,736$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.48 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -6.1wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…5d16backed Iron Wing | 43c | 3,617$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Iron Wing | 20c | 3,556$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.49 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Iron Wing | 47c | 3,521$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Iron Wing | 39c | 3,508$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.12 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Iron Wing | 66c | 3,500$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.35 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Spirit | 67c | 3,465$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.64 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…e0c4backed Team Spirit | 78c | 3,409$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.39 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…0c84backed Team Spirit | 37c | 3,360$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.78 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Iron Wing | 40c | 3,292$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.64 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Spirit | 48c | 3,289$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.34 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…89bfbacked Iron Wing | 32c | 3,271$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.85 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 47c | 3,257$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.35 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Iron Wing | 47c | 3,214$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.42 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Spirit | 49c | 3,209$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.85 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Iron Wing | 66c | 3,150$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.34 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Spirit won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: IW (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.