Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2da4ce9342811e6e8bbf7cc047766e27e3988237cc671c6cfa7213efd2a4ef88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Iron Wing, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,064,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,424,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,064,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 749 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Iron Wing | 55c | 150,565$82,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,085.3 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Iron Wing | 57c | 55,302$31,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,643.92 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…ad08backed Iron Wing | 64c | 46,379$29,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,885.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Iron Wing | 31c | 44,907$13,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,954.82 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Spirit | 44c | 43,420$19,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,257.59 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Spirit | 42c | 42,232$17,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,436.61 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Spirit | 42c | 39,331$16,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,797.07 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 38,537$17,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,823.8 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9100…7adebacked Iron Wing | 60c | 35,396$21,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,197.66 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Iron Wing | 48c | 35,000$16,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,649.98 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…b18ebacked Team Spirit | 47c | 35,000$16,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,549.91 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Spirit | 46c | 30,279$13,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,500.29 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Team Spirit | 45c | 30,050$13,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,407.44 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a6…429abacked Team Spirit | 45c | 28,650$12,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,861.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Iron Wing | 61c | 26,483$16,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,061.13 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Spirit | 41c | 19,546$7,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,575.09 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Iron Wing | 3c | 16,685$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.61 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Iron Wing | 56c | 16,347$9,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,170.03 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Team Spirit | 45c | 16,208$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,890.25 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 47c | 14,735$6,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,846.04 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Iron Wing | 11c | 14,673$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.2 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fb…bd68backed Team Spirit | 62c | 14,591$8,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,596.97 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked Iron Wing | 55c | 14,500$7,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,975 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Iron Wing | 62c | 13,891$8,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,682.04 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Spirit | 41c | 12,547$5,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.37 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 11,825$5,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,322.41 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Iron Wing | 57c | 11,667$6,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,603 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…b397backed Team Spirit | 47c | 11,200$5,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,936 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Spirit | 46c | 10,709$4,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,762.8 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Spirit | 44c | 10,580$4,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,972.81 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Iron Wing | 54c | 10,085$5,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,413.59 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 10,013$4,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,836.39 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Iron Wing | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Iron Wing | 55c | 10,000$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,450 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.99 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6b5ebacked Iron Wing | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Iron Wing | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.99 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Iron Wing | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 9,870$4,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,825.03 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Iron Wing | 40c | 9,732$3,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890.98 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Iron Wing | 53c | 9,700$5,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,141 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 8,882$4,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,695.32 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 8,858$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,871.78 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 8,800$5,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.68 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 8,637$5,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,504.36 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Iron Wing | 54c | 8,555$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,619.92 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked Team Spirit | 61c | 8,311$5,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.15 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Team Spirit | 38c | 8,074$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.85 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Iron Wing | 47c | 7,945$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.71 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Iron Wing | 52c | 7,666$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.66 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Team Spirit | 51c | 7,585$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.73 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…5bd5backed Team Spirit | 38c | 7,550$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,676.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 7,508$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.7 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Spirit | 46c | 7,131$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.86 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Iron Wing | 55c | 7,049$3,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.11 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Iron Wing | 4c | 7,013$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.86 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Spirit | 68c | 6,968$4,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.86 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 6,815$4,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.41 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Team Spirit | 69c | 6,700$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 6,681$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.58 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Spirit | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.67 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Spirit | 54c | 6,650$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.29 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 6,613$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,541.06 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed Iron Wing | 19c | 6,500$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.19 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Iron Wing | 52c | 6,479$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.02 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Spirit | 44c | 6,460$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.34 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Team Spirit | 46c | 6,343$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.16 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Iron Wing | 56c | 6,219$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.69 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…885fbacked Iron Wing | 44c | 6,012$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Iron Wing | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Iron Wing | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.99 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Iron Wing | 52c | 5,782$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.93 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Team Spirit | 45c | 5,611$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.11 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Iron Wing | 53c | 5,472$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Iron Wing | 39c | 5,217$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.42 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 5,207$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.04 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Iron Wing | 55c | 5,167$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.57 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaed…44f8backed Iron Wing | 44c | 5,113$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Team Spirit | 44c | 5,058$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.22 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…1e02backed Iron Wing | 61c | 5,045$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.36 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -6.1wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Iron Wing | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Team Spirit | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.99 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 4,942$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.04 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Team Spirit | 43c | 4,911$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.5 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Spirit | 69c | 4,729$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.17 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…442fbacked Iron Wing | 55c | 4,610$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Iron Wing | 55c | 4,540$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Iron Wing | 47c | 4,487$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.14 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Team Spirit | 40c | 4,423$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.55 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Team Spirit | 37c | 4,099$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.23 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Iron Wing | 63c | 4,034$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.74 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…4922backed Team Spirit | 45c | 4,033$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 4,012$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.52 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 3,981$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.76 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…4a86backed Team Spirit | 46c | 3,900$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Iron Wing | 1c | 3,857$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Team Spirit | 25c | 3,831$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.31 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Iron Wing | 45c | 3,779$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 41c | 3,740$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.87 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Spirit won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: IW (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.