Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf88e83dd1c55b1252c40900c444f37d8034b6280ae4384460a5b16836aea9b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Iron Wing, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $760,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $891,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $760,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 626 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Spirit | 46c | 41,657$19,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,524.73 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Iron Wing | 54c | 40,328$21,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,601.92 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Spirit | 69c | 35,922$24,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,264.8 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Spirit | 48c | 32,911$15,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,988.03 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Iron Wing | 31c | 27,142$8,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,448.51 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Iron Wing | 54c | 20,631$11,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,082.47 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Iron Wing | 35c | 18,329$6,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,453.48 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a7d6backed Team Spirit | 51c | 16,847$8,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,255.02 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Iron Wing | 54c | 16,180$8,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,737.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked Iron Wing | 54c | 15,770$8,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,515.98 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…d5e5backed Iron Wing | 32c | 15,606$4,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,993.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Team Spirit | 47c | 15,277$7,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,021.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…2d3abacked Iron Wing | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Team Spirit | 47c | 13,922$6,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,378.46 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Iron Wing | 52c | 13,247$6,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,872.77 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 12,393$8,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 12,370$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,429.1 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Iron Wing | 51c | 12,347$6,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,314.54 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Spirit | 48c | 11,550$5,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,005.9 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Iron Wing | 29c | 10,345$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Team Spirit | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Team Spirit | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.1 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6b5ebacked Team Spirit | 46c | 9,682$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,228.33 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 8,692$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,693.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…2f38backed Team Spirit | 48c | 8,200$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Team Spirit | 78c | 7,811$6,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Iron Wing | 52c | 7,221$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760.43 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Iron Wing | 49c | 6,670$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268.34 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 46c | 6,342$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.97 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed Iron Wing | 31c | 6,176$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.48 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6343backed Iron Wing | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Iron Wing | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…9bf0backed Iron Wing | 6c | 5,039$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Iron Wing | 48c | 4,853$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.99 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Iron Wing | 52c | 4,472$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.43 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…5d16backed Iron Wing | 32c | 4,289$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1f…5c1abacked Team Spirit | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…bcd8backed Team Spirit | 54c | 4,161$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.02 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Iron Wing | 61c | 4,115$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Iron Wing | 31c | 3,838$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.63 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Iron Wing | 51c | 3,760$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.65 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…9259backed Iron Wing | 52c | 3,743$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f62…dd4dbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 3,740$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…ae1ebacked Team Spirit | 56c | 3,687$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…ba3bbacked Iron Wing | 31c | 3,656$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.39 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed Team Spirit | 48c | 3,606$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.25 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc303…8129backed Iron Wing | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Iron Wing | 19c | 3,400$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Iron Wing | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Spirit | 47c | 3,273$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.95 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Iron Wing | 55c | 3,248$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.4 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 3,044$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 2,987$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.56 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 2,888$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.05 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Spirit | 47c | 2,766$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.96 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Iron Wing | 53c | 2,592$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.82 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Iron Wing | 31c | 2,532$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.79 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…7e2bbacked Iron Wing | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Iron Wing | 53c | 2,381$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.72 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed Iron Wing | 63c | 2,370$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.66 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Iron Wing | 16c | 2,343$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.75 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Spirit | 61c | 2,228$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.34 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Team Spirit | 46c | 2,191$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Iron Wing | 49c | 2,183$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.48 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…1999backed Iron Wing | 53c | 2,178$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…1c22backed Iron Wing | 1c | 2,131$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Team Spirit | 44c | 2,114$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.98 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Iron Wing | 51c | 2,050$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Iron Wing | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Iron Wing | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Iron Wing | 42c | 1,960$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.93 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaed…44f8backed Iron Wing | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Spirit | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Team Spirit | 67c | 1,900$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Iron Wing | 49c | 1,861$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Iron Wing | 54c | 1,852$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.42 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Iron Wing | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Iron Wing | 51c | 1,822$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.27 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Iron Wing | 53c | 1,755$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.12 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 1,676$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.27 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7d…df55backed Team Spirit | 49c | 1,632$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Iron Wing | 44c | 1,606$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Iron Wing | 52c | 1,545$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.19 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Team Spirit | 49c | 1,515$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,502$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.14 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Team Spirit | 70c | 1,465$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.31 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 1,452$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.84 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Iron Wing | 53c | 1,442$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.25 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…1cfabacked Team Spirit | 69c | 1,434$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Iron Wing | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed Team Spirit | 70c | 1,395$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Iron Wing | 19c | 1,351$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.35 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 1,331$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa8…8b99backed Iron Wing | 53c | 1,308$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Spirit | 54c | 1,300$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.77 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…c012backed Team Spirit | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Iron Wing | 54c | 1,250$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Team Spirit | 58c | 1,213$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.52 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Spirit won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: IW (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.