TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb00…2f38

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT5345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,541Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$3,312.17
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$885.4
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,241.51
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.92
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+247.8%+$1,017.45
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$470.81
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$596.22
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$794.25
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.26
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$271.69
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$540.75
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.57
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.75
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.09
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$878Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$583.29
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$478.8
Norway to score first vs. Brazil?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$697
Brazil vs. Norway: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.47
Paraguay vs. France: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.9
Paraguay to score first vs. France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$731.43
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.76
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-65.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.34
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.55
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.82
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.49
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Who wins the toss?backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.31
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?backed Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.6
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$88.61
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.99
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.56
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$675.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$86.4
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$54.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$89.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.