Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x681558da5f5cc334dce374af7e009bdccce878094eccaa03c6ea6d31d62564ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Yes | 20c | 15,051$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 9,263$7,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.43 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 77c | 3,796$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.04 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 22c | 3,216$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.63 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 2,523$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.87 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 1c | 2,512$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 2,167$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.32 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 33c | 1,774$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 862.23$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.69 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 2c | 534.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 402.96$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…f0eabacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 28c | 297.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 80c | 154.7$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 154.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 76c | 131.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 21c | 129.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 112$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed No | 80c | 110.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…2f38backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 80c | 97.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 94.68$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 22c | 94.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 76c | 89.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 22c | 86.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 77c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 24c | 68.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 27c | 67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 80c | 58.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 80c | 54.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 22c | 53.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 31c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 78c | 51.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…12b2backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 76c | 46.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 31c | 39.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed No | 80c | 30.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 72c | 26.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 80c | 17.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene end in a draw?this page
- Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-07-31?Yes won
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.