Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb025924a635da63f0fe25da502ba1b006cbe2797166be54ad6634c1c9891a798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,452,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,025,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,452,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,097 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x253a…af26backed Yes | 0c | 1,581,436$4,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047.06 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 24c | 605,689$147,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,384.43 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 76c | 564,124$427,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,182.85 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed No | 73c | 337,235$245,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,871.33 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 75c | 312,466$234,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,655.09 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 76c | 151,078$114,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,776.24 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 24c | 144,991$34,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,692.96 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 144,175$37,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,410.22 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 70c | 123,791$87,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,609.47 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 25c | 121,212$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…cf03backed Yes | 24c | 104,577$25,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,360 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…e8e5backed Yes | 24c | 103,300$24,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,791.9 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 25c | 100,000$24,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,750 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 24c | 100,000$24,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,249.93 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 67c | 91,749$61,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,717.91 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…c771backed Yes | 28c | 86,075$23,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,838.07 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 24c | 73,069$17,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,551.46 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked No | 75c | 69,993$52,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,223.25 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 24c | 50,000$12,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,125 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 76c | 49,480$37,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,055.81 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 49,317$37,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,982.78 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 24c | 47,035$11,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,338.88 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…3c52backed No | 75c | 45,100$33,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,148.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 40,984$31,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,940.55 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4810…289abacked Yes | 24c | 40,674$9,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,720.87 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f93…0991backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…25efbacked Yes | 27c | 37,536$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 63c | 36,693$23,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,515.14 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 20c | 35,154$6,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,924.76 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 76c | 34,526$26,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,442.16 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 25c | 33,772$8,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,331.88 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 0c | 32,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 25c | 29,810$7,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,377.98 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…aba9backed Yes | 11c | 28,219$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 34c | 28,031$9,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,527.56 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 76c | 26,463$20,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,396.17 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…cae6backed Yes | 25c | 24,490$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 77c | 23,649$18,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,480.37 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 76c | 23,646$17,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,737.83 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Yes | 19c | 21,400$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.18 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108e…b771backed Yes | 24c | 21,000$5,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,092.5 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…2084backed Yes | 24c | 20,619$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 25c | 20,555$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035.92 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked No | 75c | 20,101$15,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Yes | 24c | 18,935$4,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,629.64 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…ad03backed Yes | 32c | 18,926$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 75c | 18,400$13,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,553.94 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 76c | 17,812$13,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,338.97 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 73c | 17,502$12,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,709.34 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Yes | 25c | 17,016$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205.4 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Yes | 24c | 16,487$4,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,008.71 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked Yes | 9c | 15,887$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.81 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 24c | 15,555$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.2 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 63c | 15,210$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,609.69 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65e…3c8fbacked Yes | 25c | 14,500$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f0…416cbacked Yes | 63c | 14,260$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 25c | 14,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Yes | 38c | 12,617$4,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,762.51 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 24c | 12,561$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.55 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 12,500$9,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 75c | 12,300$9,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.18 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…e776backed Yes | 8c | 12,153$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 32.3%54 W · 113 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 24c | 12,000$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.98 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…a926backed Yes | 9c | 11,638$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 25c | 11,620$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed No | 34c | 11,430$3,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600.97 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 11,132$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 75c | 11,036$8,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.78 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3608…b13dbacked Yes | 24c | 10,204$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 24c | 10,204$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 75c | 10,007$7,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.67 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Yes | 25c | 10,003$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.66 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 24c | 10,000$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323a…876fbacked Yes | 24c | 9,897$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 76c | 9,863$7,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.12 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5915…db2bbacked Yes | 27c | 9,666$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4e…5c01backed No | 76c | 9,515$7,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.51 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 9,481$7,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.33 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 10c | 9,478$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.03 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…df57backed No | 75c | 9,111$6,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.69 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…cc80backed Yes | 14c | 9,103$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.79 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 12c | 9,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 75c | 8,825$6,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.17 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 76c | 8,622$6,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.84 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 8,536$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.59 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed No | 76c | 8,500$6,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.24 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 24c | 8,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Yes | 24c | 8,250$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.63 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3a…5678backed No | 75c | 8,200$6,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…1a2abacked Yes | 24c | 8,163$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.49 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Yes | 13c | 7,830$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 8c | 7,768$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.23 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 76c | 7,705$5,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.45 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 7,629$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.45 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 21c | 7,563$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.4 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Yes | 24c | 7,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Yes | 24c | 7,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.97 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…b752backed Yes | 15c | 7,481$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.84 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459b…f771backed Yes | 24c | 7,382$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.47 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 76c | 7,000$5,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?this page
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?No won
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.