TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x59e5…7a2b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
192
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Olympics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,660Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+502.4%+$8,340
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12,715Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$6,146.64
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,575
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24,202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$7,285.14
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$9,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,038.83
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,975
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17,764Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$4,758.58
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.94
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,765Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$8,414.53
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,035.18
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23,399.99
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$245.5
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,848
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,549.99
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,099.78
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,742Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+279.6%+$13,257.56
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,865Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$1,144.8
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$9,844Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5,781.23
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$682.46
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,357.44
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,824Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$1,155.06
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$800
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$787.68
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,493.28
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+163.1%+$1,864.86
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38,889Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$20,676.21
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,039.46
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,444.96
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$906Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$905.61
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$225
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$16,049.96
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,939.99
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,019.05
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.54
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,552.17
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$31.86
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,948Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$2,247.93
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.76
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$434.22
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$679.99
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16,981Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,980.68
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,866.49
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,557Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,556.59
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,615Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$9,615
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$2,999.91
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40,260
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$405
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.27
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,508Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$841.57
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$620
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.97
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,019.98
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6,159.99
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,274Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$2,429.79
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.59
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.03
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,718.69
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$72.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,241
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.52
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,450
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,361Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$1,071.94
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,027.39
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.65
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$87.13
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,219.97
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$11.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,589Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$3,373.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17,485Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+40.1%+$7,008.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$230.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$313.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,172.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.