Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ec47ed5c32500ade7f429ad8deb693fa486560558d80910b110f53bc0bf8bd5

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,745 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under	27c	6,853$1,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,033.55	239	48.1%115 W · 124 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Over	73c	6,416$4,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,671.64	399	64.4%257 W · 142 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over	41c	5,303$2,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,173.2	379	48.3%183 W · 196 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Under	26c	1,439$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,064.62	1,295	45.1%584 W · 711 L	+49.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e83…81d1backed Over	54c	1,409$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.44	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-29%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Over	74c	1,318$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.05	43	65.1%28 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over	77c	1,127$865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.58	68	58.8%40 W · 28 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	29c	1,035$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.27	2,495	47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under	25c	737.72$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.55	171	36.3%62 W · 109 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Under	59c	636.62$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.01	64	60.9%39 W · 25 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under	28c	633.16$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.88	119	43.7%52 W · 67 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed Under	29c	571.19$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.19	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e3d…6143backed Over	75c	553.17$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-6.4wins	-0.17per pick	58cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over	69c	458.36$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.27	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	64cpaid	-22%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over	52c	400.24$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.02	168	19.6%33 W · 135 L	-9.6wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Over	76c	378.88$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.89	148	48.6%72 W · 76 L	-13.8wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Over	69c	367.63$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-8.1wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	65c	358.57$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.57	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Over	63c	344.79$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.22	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over	54c	300$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over	59c	276.46$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.62	1,170	66.2%774 W · 396 L	+69.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under	26c	259.57$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.45	1,035	47.2%489 W · 546 L	+26.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Under	29c	239.24$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.86	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over	70c	199.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	74c	178.78$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.3	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	52c	172.25$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.04	2,311	39.4%910 W · 1,401 L	-83.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Under	44c	158.51$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.51	287	59.9%172 W · 115 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under	27c	153.99$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.41	197	58.9%116 W · 81 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb4…5db6backed Under	28c	142.86$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.86	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.26per pick	44cpaid	+50.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xddb1…ea72backed Over	8c	140.73$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Over	70c	140$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	245	54.7%134 W · 111 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over	73c	136.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	187	52.4%98 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over	73c	136.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	493	46.5%229 W · 264 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over	74c	135.2$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	660	58.8%388 W · 272 L	-36.9wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97ee…b868backed Under	28c	133.25$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.94	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	40c	132.91$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.73	2,825	41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L	-14.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0453…2ad6backed Over	54c	130.18$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.9	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+3.5wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Over	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	70	27.1%19 W · 51 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	43c	121.36$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.6	1,606	17.5%281 W · 1,325 L	-245.0wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over	38c	115.04$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.72	488	44.3%216 W · 272 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Under	27c	110$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.3	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over	73c	109.59$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	634	58.4%370 W · 264 L	+9.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	29c	107.64$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.95	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	26c	100$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	602	43.4%261 W · 341 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under	31c	93.16$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.73	1,971	30.5%601 W · 1,370 L	-170.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over	15c	85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over	43c	70$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	212	33%70 W · 142 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under	45c	65.33$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.93	307	31.6%97 W · 210 L	-19.2wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked Under	28c	61.43$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.23	74	55.4%41 W · 33 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under	47c	61.13$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.28	978	54.4%532 W · 446 L	+48.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under	28c	60$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8eea…fea7backed Over	73c	54.79$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over	43c	52.95$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.88	187	38.5%72 W · 115 L	-13.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed Over	74c	50.68$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	28c	50$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	360	48.9%176 W · 184 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	40c	45.36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.95	1,357	31.2%423 W · 934 L	-129.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4346…f897backed Over	67c	44.78$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	81	63%51 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over	56c	42.75$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.94	222	65.3%145 W · 77 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	39c	42.66$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	1,061	54.7%580 W · 481 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…a82fbacked Under	54c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.05	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc51…245abacked Over	74c	35$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.9	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c81…8f47backed Over	73c	34.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-5.8wins	-0.36per pick	68cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x04d9…fa77backed Over	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	71	39.4%28 W · 43 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Over	73c	27.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	181	65.7%119 W · 62 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4569…832bbacked Over	73c	27.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x824f…ab16backed Over	78c	25.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-42%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Over	78c	25.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	267	54.7%146 W · 121 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under	55c	25.49$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.47	301	46.2%139 W · 162 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	751	50.7%381 W · 370 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Over	42c	23.81$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	305	43%131 W · 174 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over	62c	22.63$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	1,599	46.8%748 W · 851 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e6…c0dfbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+62.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Over	71c	19.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	576	55.9%322 W · 254 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event