TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b7b…a88d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 50 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT4436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$208
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$394.38
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$190.12
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$77.24
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38.05
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$99.68
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$668.48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$146.42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$159.77
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$247.2
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+109.2%+$261
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+113.2%+$531
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$75.65
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$260.66
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+171.2%+$213.98
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$67.5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+195.4%+$126.19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$359.36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+357.2%+$2,737.52
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$300.1
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$275.97
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$488.3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$175.58
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$455.39
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,394.19
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$4,100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,914Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$6,678.85
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$9,715Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$2,465.06
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$8,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,690.45
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,079Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$1,113.37
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$7,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$3,948.73
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,936.51
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,384
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+155.9%+$3,663.51
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,530Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,773.92
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,759Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$829.19
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$556.36
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,488Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,399.73
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10,209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7,694.73
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$384
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.05
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$298.7
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,594Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+112.8%+$1,797.57
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$4,277.39
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,340Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$660
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,639Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$1,359.64
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L-6.6wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-48.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.41
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$9,064.37
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,458.09
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,409Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$2,179.47
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,900
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,234.79
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$289.84
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,495.02
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$407.33
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$284
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$375
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+131.4%+$1,663.36
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,751Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,751.32
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.05
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.5
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$567
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$432.88
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$153.12
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.