Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5643164887403da23bf20c0f7ac21dcf56acba71e41772f4947eedda9cda59c5

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,077,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $440,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,077,154 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	1c	135,000$1,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,555	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	75,646$2,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,074.71	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	3c	42,518$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,178.32	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	6c	25,365$1,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,640.67	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	5c	22,970$1,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,148.13	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	2c	14,387$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.29	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Yes	12c	13,032$1,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,571.03	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	11,500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.38	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed Yes	1c	10,464$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.89	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	5c	10,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	9,752$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.31	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622d…1c23backed Yes	0c	9,700$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	15c	9,023$1,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,319.35	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	10c	8,934$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.98	97	11.3%11 W · 86 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-63%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	8,271$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.54	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c45…31c4backed Yes	4c	7,843$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.54	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	13c	7,717$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.79	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	6,701$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.54	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed Yes	0c	6,667$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	5c	6,463$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.52	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f52…e7d7backed Yes	14c	5,826$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$819.37	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	5,709$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.36	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	8c	5,385$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.62	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	15c	5,285$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	3c	5,167$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.35	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23a…9e6fbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.24per pick	1cpaid	+395.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	4,585$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.74	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	8c	4,413$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.32	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	3,970$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.1	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	12c	3,785$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.5	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes	10c	3,486$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.04	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+87.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	7c	3,467$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.96	118	5.1%6 W · 112 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+94.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe739…eeb5backed Yes	0c	3,400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	133	17.3%23 W · 110 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	9c	3,145$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.31	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x240d…bfd2backed Yes	9c	3,113$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.57	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	5c	3,101$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	14c	3,014$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.18	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd305…4e8bbacked Yes	17c	3,000$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5f…aaffbacked Yes	14c	2,930$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	6c	2,911$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.02	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6c…a1c5backed Yes	16c	2,670$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.32	42	11.9%5 W · 37 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf225…f863backed Yes	1c	2,568$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.54	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0744…b4cbbacked Yes	15c	2,432$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.67	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03d0…d647backed Yes	2c	2,431$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.94	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b1…2c4ebacked Yes	1c	2,167$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16a0…2f60backed Yes	17c	2,000$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbef…7de2backed Yes	10c	2,000$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.05	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfa6…da4fbacked Yes	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	6c	2,000$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa6…4465backed Yes	4c	1,893$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+413.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	12c	1,834$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e60…9e3fbacked Yes	10c	1,811$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.05	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	12c	1,801$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.14	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes	1c	1,775$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	282	11%31 W · 251 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes	9c	1,682$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.59	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc18f…f929backed Yes	11c	1,677$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.27	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0643…8eccbacked Yes	6c	1,650$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.45	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes	15c	1,605$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.92	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+217.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3103…ea70backed Yes	6c	1,570$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.76	139	26.6%37 W · 102 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb027…7389backed Yes	11c	1,563$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.48	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes	18c	1,552$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.97	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…3ec5backed Yes	14c	1,510$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.65	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d9…f4dabacked Yes	7c	1,491$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8a9…6da5backed Yes	1c	1,455$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	9c	1,358$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.05	526	19.8%104 W · 422 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	9c	1,235$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.71	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	9c	1,220$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.08	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa553…3eaebacked Yes	9c	1,200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x208d…6fb3backed Yes	9c	1,178$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.09	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	26cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa44a…5d2dbacked Yes	15c	1,161$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.13	35	8.6%3 W · 32 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8114…085abacked Yes	11c	1,150$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.97	127	14.2%18 W · 109 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x442d…523ebacked Yes	1c	1,133$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d3c…5467backed Yes	11c	1,130$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	6c	1,111$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.38	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc4…db9abacked Yes	4c	1,100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.01	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa769…843ebacked Yes	19c	1,020$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.25	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-4.1wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed Yes	12c	1,000$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee1…bc75backed Yes	10c	1,000$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.39	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e26…e972backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2616…8d3cbacked Yes	17c	1,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	3c	950.95$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.83	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f55…73b6backed Yes	11c	944.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	34cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4be…58f2backed Yes	5c	943.1$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.39	53	17%9 W · 44 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	12c	939$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.6	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	14c	930$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.61	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf529…4fc0backed Yes	18c	910.54$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.63	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62d7…7e85backed Yes	10c	899.99$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.85	89	7.9%7 W · 82 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	7c	890.92$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	94	20.2%19 W · 75 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…642abacked Yes	5c	883.65$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.71	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+71%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9519…9739backed Yes	11c	877.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12cc…275dbacked Yes	15c	871.29$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.45	128	18.8%24 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes	4c	856.07$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	344	27%93 W · 251 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	12c	852.25$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.43	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	2c	849.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.52	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	4c	833.33$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6beb…6ea2backed Yes	6c	816.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae83…da1cbacked Yes	9c	800$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.6	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed1…a7fbbacked Yes	4c	800$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	159	11.9%19 W · 140 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5d4…e7f7backed Yes	4c	780$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.98	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	13c	774.06$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.51	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event