Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02ab92afb262dd3b8ad3ae742d4ef951b72648d41c6d14cc5de6e0bff8d8414d

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 29, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $275,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $115,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,542 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf5e6…fb8ebacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2db…84eabacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	5c	10,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	9,659$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.66	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	0c	8,260$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.52	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83ad…f1c0backed Yes	0c	7,430$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.86	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7557…7579backed Yes	0c	6,499$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.99	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5e…4e9ebacked Yes	0c	5,177$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.71	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	3,938$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.89	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64fa…2f1fbacked Yes	26c	3,923$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf1…1695backed Yes	0c	3,396$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0338…70cfbacked Yes	8c	2,375$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd2…427bbacked Yes	1c	2,180$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	16c	2,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4113…9514backed Yes	12c	1,715$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78a2…acb9backed Yes	4c	1,591$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b91…f577backed Yes	13c	1,500$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3731…fb76backed Yes	15c	1,400$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Yes	10c	1,200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf7…aba5backed Yes	9c	1,192$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.77	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	12c	1,173$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.5	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	13c	1,158$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.1	97	11.3%11 W · 86 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-63%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0234…62dabacked Yes	10c	1,025$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f2c…86bfbacked Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	971.8$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.57	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87f5…0febbacked Yes	8c	920$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.8	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6709…385bbacked Yes	15c	709.98$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.6	442	27.4%121 W · 321 L	-21.9wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62d7…7e85backed Yes	15c	707.75$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.52	89	7.9%7 W · 82 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf529…4fc0backed Yes	7c	700$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	6c	680.48$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.87	118	5.1%6 W · 112 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+94.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Yes	15c	666.65$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b6…de0dbacked Yes	16c	636.02$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-24%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…2a72backed Yes	17c	603.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.7	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…1d82backed Yes	2c	599.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x856c…7e2ebacked Yes	11c	577.42$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.77	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-22%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ff…721fbacked Yes	20c	509.91$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.4	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	20c	507.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed1…a7fbbacked Yes	11c	500$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	159	11.9%19 W · 140 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c7…3ff0backed Yes	18c	388.89$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c58…b15cbacked Yes	16c	324.24$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.88	45	6.7%3 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6179…d549backed Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x824c…6874backed Yes	15c	312$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	430	27%116 W · 314 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfc…173ebacked Yes	15c	300$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80dc…7cf8backed Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	83	14.5%12 W · 71 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cc8…7be1backed Yes	18c	287.83$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.81	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf90f…8296backed Yes	18c	282.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	24cpaid	-81.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e0e…12b3backed Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e18…8761backed Yes	19c	264.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e4…0e38backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	-5.5wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0dd…45e7backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe3…bd1dbacked Yes	7c	210$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	+9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x717e…ca8bbacked Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	65	26.2%17 W · 48 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c35…5bd0backed Yes	16c	200$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae83…da1cbacked Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…9026backed Yes	12c	200$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc62…4f5ebacked Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0927…6486backed Yes	7c	199.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	145	15.2%22 W · 123 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4250…5c32backed Yes	16c	193.25$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	68	11.8%8 W · 60 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd668…a01cbacked Yes	15c	189.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe6b…1f1abacked Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	8c	178.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fd4…8cc6backed Yes	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1d…e3c3backed Yes	17c	141.57$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.07	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef3b…8925backed Yes	11c	140$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd396…384dbacked Yes	14c	140$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb0…2a51backed Yes	15c	140$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d6…9357backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x039d…a1bcbacked Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-82.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eea…0919backed Yes	17c	130$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	19cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91a7…c755backed Yes	8c	130$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf98a…0e35backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9f…bc54backed Yes	15c	121$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bad…4ee8backed Yes	9c	120$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a4…9cc0backed Yes	18c	110.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2c…c361backed Yes	11c	110$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x261b…b32bbacked Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x339f…79f0backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	54	13%7 W · 47 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c08…8bacbacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8aa9…7a0ebacked Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8f83…fcfdbacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	25	24%6 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7088…f1ebbacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf8…add4backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc36a…be63backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.34	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c99…76c8backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	15cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf58…a4d8backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x846d…3f44backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.16per pick	23cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bd2…2b28backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e59…8ec5backed Yes	14c	99.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	99	5.1%5 W · 94 L	-5.8wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ae…11bfbacked Yes	11c	99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacda…ddacbacked Yes	22c	98.04$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e6e…a9dbbacked Yes	17c	80$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f5…e6b0backed Yes	18c	70$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x958f…a83cbacked Yes	15c	70$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event