TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6179…d549

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
216
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Tweets at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST5168.6%35 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12
Kennesaw State vs. Libertybacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Missouri vs. Arkansasbacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+31.6%+$19.2
East Carolina vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$154.34
Georgia State vs. Troybacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
UConn vs. Florida Atlanticbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Arkansas vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$18.95
TCU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Kentucky vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$20
Southern Miss vs. South Alabamabacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Marshall vs. Appalachian Statebacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Wyomingbacked Wyoming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Washington State vs. James Madisonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+46%+$29.62
Baylor vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$17.97
Minnesota vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+58.7%+$23.49
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Kansas vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+57.8%+$34.69
Wyoming vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+46.4%+$64.92
TCU vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Boise State vs. San Diego Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Utah State vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$26.96
Mississippi State vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$25.71
Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST4755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$31.8
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$25.71
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$62.44
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+35.1%+$21.08
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$91.98
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40
76ers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+94.4%+$84.96
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$47.79
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+63.9%+$38.36
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+29.9%+$17.92
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+58.7%+$35.24
Kings vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+28.2%+$16.92
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+45.7%+$27.45
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST4112.2%5 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-51.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$676.07
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$620
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$574.99
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$569.99
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$245
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+426.3%+$607.49
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$192.49
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$87.5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$302.58
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+156.5%+$153.19
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$824.99
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$91
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$90.98
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$91
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$224
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+214.1%+$1,113.27
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+203.5%+$40.7
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$18.95
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$31.11
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$22.19
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$74.92
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+31.6%+$18.95
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+55.3%+$22.11
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$26.96
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$14.79
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+127.3%+$50.91
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+41.3%+$66.04
Chennai Open: Mia Pohankova vs Diane Parrybacked Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Chennai Open: Joanna Garland vs Mei Yamaguchibacked Yamaguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$46.2
Jiangxi Open: Alycia Parks vs Kaja Juvanbacked Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+133.1%+$53.22
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexandre Muller vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$216.32
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Kordabacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$59.25
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Rolex Paris Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$245.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon Ducks vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$80
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+73.7%+$280.19
Boise State Broncos vs. USC Trojansbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Arizona Wildcats vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Harvard Crimson vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+33.5%+$6.7
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked IU Indy Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.95
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Monmouth Hawks vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+44.9%+$17.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+37.7%+$11.3
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+113%+$135.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$28.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+34.2%+$34.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+29.9%+$17.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$25.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$23.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will “Death by Lightning” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.