TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Kings, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,504,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,600,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,504,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 880 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs72c94,673$68,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,647.082,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Kings34c71,416$24,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,451.3220253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings9c60,216$5,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,443.194,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Spurs68c51,549$35,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,432.644456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Spurs77c50,000$38,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,50038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings23c34,883$8,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,147.6272450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Kings28c25,152$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,10012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Kings25c25,000$6,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,269.0811547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea34…0a92backed Kings28c22,835$6,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,422.896654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Spurs71c22,268$15,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,472.5822458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf963…0637backed Kings25c21,000$5,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,213.234742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Kings23c20,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.935815.5%9 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Kings25c18,972$4,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,79824330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Kings19c18,407$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,578.8948046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Kings25c17,296$4,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,387.0947751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Spurs69c15,217$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,717.3948448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Kings28c14,351$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,084.427339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings25c14,264$3,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,628.7174748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Spurs70c13,641$9,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,125.2487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs77c13,044$9,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.7334062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Kings5c12,692$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.6612545.6%57 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Kings33c12,433$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,084.3761851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Kings33c12,313$4,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,063.3957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings8c12,002$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.551,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings32c11,884$3,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,795.282,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Kings16c11,317$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.2526038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x971a…ea89backed Kings24c10,044$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.543348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Kings31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.993237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Kings24c9,737$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.822,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Spurs75c9,508$7,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.8444459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3db…0b3cbacked Kings14c9,461$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.451936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs73c8,500$6,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,286.0578445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Kings20c8,200$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67346342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings11c7,690$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs71c7,684$5,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.523,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs75c7,580$5,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.025,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs68c7,300$4,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,31873649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Kings31c6,998$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.361,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Kings22c6,989$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.5326544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Kings0c6,890$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.13318.2%6 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick10cpaid-13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings0c6,800$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.28820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eef…76bbbacked Kings26c6,800$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7681163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+126.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Kings23c6,627$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.914129.3%12 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Kings32c6,615$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.83246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings31c6,580$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.232,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Kings33c6,500$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1451241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Kings30c6,500$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf54…e5bebacked Kings23c6,110$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.31216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1252…dec2backed Spurs69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8604052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Kings13c6,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Kings10c5,808$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.2519845.5%90 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Spurs76c5,571$4,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.2781529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Kings23c5,477$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.1348944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2970…8d1ebacked Spurs74c5,310$3,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Spurs67c5,174$3,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.6969852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…38e5backed Spurs73c5,015$3,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.422236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Kings21c5,000$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.981,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Kings30c4,577$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.545152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kings10c4,320$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.561,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Kings25c4,260$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.752,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Kings22c4,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90016446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Kings27c3,988$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.6340035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Spurs68c3,801$2,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.2516749.1%82 W · 85 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Kings28c3,791$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.595049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Kings1c3,600$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings28c3,575$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.1447028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0223…f22ebacked Spurs77c3,500$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8052100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Kings21c3,428$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7135911.9%7 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed Kings9c3,141$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.767259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff1…d32bbacked Spurs76c3,132$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.81861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd6f…e887backed Spurs68c3,100$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9838351.8%43 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Spurs74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Spurs78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66014245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Kings37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1101,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d0…5407backed Spurs74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…bdb8backed Kings25c3,000$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7354725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x222e…0d53backed Kings7c2,956$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.342334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+110.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Kings32c2,888$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.0844648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Kings23c2,878$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.059344.1%41 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e3…81f7backed Spurs77c2,727$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.274847.9%23 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6b6…750cbacked Kings25c2,700$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-46.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Kings26c2,551$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.3227840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f95…d8cdbacked Spurs78c2,548$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings26c2,526$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.13,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2858…ff7fbacked Kings24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Kings23c2,500$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.9816730.5%51 W · 116 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs72c2,465$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.331,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb391…8939backed Kings24c2,399$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.823751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Kings18c2,372$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.8742845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a59…770cbacked Spurs74c2,354$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.056665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Spurs77c2,338$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.6629652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc322…3f23backed Spurs68c2,278$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.821770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs68c2,214$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77e2…8ba5backed Spurs76c2,100$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+135.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fa…9e0bbacked Kings25c2,029$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Kings33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc318…447abacked Kings24c1,996$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.032934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Kings20c1,985$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.5510226.5%27 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Kings26c1,968$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.522,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Spurs75c1,919$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.3710457.7%60 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.