TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,065 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08dd…55b0backed Over51c1,278$652 inLost-$651.572951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under49c774$379 inWon+$395.292,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c735.75$349 inWon+$386.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa499…7873backed Over58c621.84$363 inLost-$363.374955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under41c400$164 inWon+$2361,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over54c394.35$212 inLost-$212.022,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x261b…b32bbacked Over58c242.89$140 inLost-$139.8810760.7%65 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over62c180$111 inLost-$111.062,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under47c150$71 inWon+$79.537750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under41c144.4$60 inWon+$84.7525248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Under39c100$39 inWon+$6135447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a1…d6e6backed Under38c100$38 inWon+$624746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over61c83$51 inLost-$50.882,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Under52c76.92$40 inWon+$36.9271044.6%317 W · 393 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ec…ad73backed Under52c57.69$30 inWon+$27.6919451.5%100 W · 94 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a3…8248backed Under52c57.69$30 inWon+$27.698052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under39c50$20 inWon+$30.580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a6…9347backed Under44c49.08$22 inWon+$27.426155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6680…5b88backed Over57c38.98$22 inLost-$22.222123.8%5 W · 16 L-6.3wins-0.30per pick54cpaid-55.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb6f7…f858backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon+$18.467361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon+$18.469048.9%44 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55d0…17abbacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon+$18.462853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…748cbacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon+$16.367454.1%40 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57bc…d82dbacked Over57c35.99$21 inLost-$20.525657.1%32 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over54c29.42$16 inLost-$15.913,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x646c…3210backed Over54c28.26$15 inLost-$15.268942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a18…7a20backed Under52c23.08$12 inWon+$11.086952.2%36 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f8…47aabacked Under50c20$10 inWon+$105655.4%31 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d7…c5f3backed Under50c20$10 inWon+$102356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49f…33a4backed Over57c19.15$11 inLost-$112548%12 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.