TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,105 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Kings57c8,825$4,994 inLost-$4,994.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea34…0a92backed Kings51c6,128$3,127 inLost-$3,126.686654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Spurs49c6,000$2,940 inWon+$3,06031538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs40c2,283$913 inWon+$1,369.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Spurs51c2,129$1,086 inWon+$1,043.412,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Kings56c2,022$1,132 inLost-$1,132.3251753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Kings49c1,484$727 inLost-$727.147339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6bd…270cbacked Spurs50c1,016$508 inWon+$508.412452.4%65 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Kings50c1,000$500 inLost-$5002657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cea…3ba8backed Kings59c700$413 inLost-$4132142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b1f…c37dbacked Spurs41c700$287 inWon+$4132646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs49c612$300 inWon+$312.122,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd7…9ec4backed Kings49c404.08$200 inLost-$2001921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-49%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Spurs51c313.73$160 inWon+$153.7324533.9%83 W · 162 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings58c312$181 inLost-$180.966,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Kings57c311.63$178 inLost-$177.632,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs45c239.22$107 inWon+$132.484,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings51c197.14$101 inLost-$100.643,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Spurs51c196.08$100 inWon+$96.081,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3576…8117backed Kings57c175.44$100 inLost-$10020444.6%91 W · 113 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Spurs48c149.98$72 inWon+$77.9937750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs51c140.47$72 inWon+$68.833,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Kings55c125$69 inLost-$68.751,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Spurs50c100$50 inWon+$5051451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Spurs45c100$45 inWon+$5535447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Kings49c99.99$49 inLost-$48.9954951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe45d…f77ebacked Spurs51c98.04$50 inWon+$48.0425336.8%93 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Kings50c79.22$40 inLost-$4019944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6881…525dbacked Spurs77c63.61$49 inWon+$14.631566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Spurs45c50$23 inWon+$27.580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbd…6ffebacked Spurs49c40.82$20 inWon+$20.829042.2%38 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23fb…16d8backed Spurs51c39.22$20 inWon+$19.221942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0878…8757backed Spurs51c39.22$20 inWon+$19.223256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa351…17c3backed Spurs47c38.3$18 inWon+$20.31540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Kings55c32$18 inLost-$17.664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…6baebacked Spurs52c28.85$15 inWon+$13.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd49f…33a4backed Kings52c21.15$11 inLost-$112548%12 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.