TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,659
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,659 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Spurs51c30,669$15,568 inWon+$15,10125248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings49c22,481$11,060 inLost-$11,060.019,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Kings50c8,500$4,285 inLost-$4,28534645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Kings53c1,700$901 inLost-$90164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs53c1,369$721 inWon+$647.98,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Kings45c1,000$450 inLost-$45018140.3%73 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs47c629.81$296 inWon+$333.626,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs47c406.95$191 inWon+$215.53,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs47c206$96 inWon+$110.022,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings50c200$100 inLost-$1002,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Kings39c188.82$74 inLost-$73.982,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Spurs47c188.68$89 inWon+$1002,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Kings53c188.68$100 inLost-$10063142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Spurs53c184$98 inWon+$86.4892753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Spurs47c146.6$69 inWon+$77.72,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Kings52c100$52 inLost-$5237850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Kings47c100$47 inLost-$4740346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Spurs54c100$54 inWon+$4635447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings40c100$39 inLost-$39.53,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Kings42c91.25$38 inLost-$38.322,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f1…f0e8backed Spurs58c86.21$50 inWon+$36.218155.6%45 W · 36 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Spurs61c81.97$50 inWon+$31.9723550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Spurs59c67.8$40 inWon+$27.825351%129 W · 124 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Spurs47c57.45$27 inWon+$30.4511853.4%63 W · 55 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Spurs52c51$27 inWon+$24.3880744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Spurs60c50$30 inWon+$2032750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Spurs60c50$30 inWon+$2040853.7%219 W · 189 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58e…0893backed Spurs59c47.46$28 inWon+$19.463458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Spurs60c42$25 inWon+$16.814953%79 W · 70 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x084c…a811backed Spurs60c36.97$22 inWon+$14.795054%27 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Kings47c32$15 inLost-$14.971,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Spurs58c31$18 inWon+$13.0215351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a96…ec68backed Spurs60c20.57$12 inWon+$8.231369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Spurs62c17$11 inWon+$6.4435352.4%185 W · 168 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.