NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7a6d5b8789daa2e56ff3bc018c6f8a234eeecc9ebbee9c12fdbca3ae06e2018
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 53c | 21,882$11,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,597.23 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Under | 47c | 13,617$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,217.02 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Under | 51c | 11,206$5,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,511.41 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 10,718$5,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,297 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Under | 52c | 5,744$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.63 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Over | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.95 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Under | 50c | 2,905$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.58 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,896$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 722$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.66 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 49c | 190.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 52c | 29.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…e5b3backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…59b1backed Under | 52c | 20.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…5462backed Under | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 241.5this page
- Kings vs. SpursSpurs won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Under won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Under won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5Under won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.