TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x261b…b32b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
366
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10760.7%65 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,303.1%+$456.07
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.5
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.69
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+258.4%+$282.87
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.34
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.25
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.85
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.02
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.06
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.74
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.11
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$37.65
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$18.43
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.17
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$19.5
Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$14.14
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bills (-7.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$29.19
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+37%+$37.63
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$41.05
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Browns vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.75
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$72
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$52.32
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$32.5
Ravens vs. Browns: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$76.61
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$24.8
Texans vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37.5%+$76.37
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$135.7
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$79.2
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$50.77
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$79.8
All 24 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$28.46
Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Spread: Western Michigan (-6.5)backed Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.75
BYU vs. Cincinnatibacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$89.17
Spread: Tennessee (-4.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Spread: Georgia Tech (-3.5)backed Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$64.63
USC vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+26.6%+$53.16
Arkansas vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$63.16
Spread: Florida State (-4.5)backed Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Wyoming vs. Fresno Statebacked Wyoming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$59.4
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$180
O/U 58.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+69.3%+$43.41
Iowa vs. USCbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$28.53
Virginia vs. Dukebacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Arkansas vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
West Virginia vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$45
Spread: Notre Dame (-12.5)backed Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Arizona vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$118.8
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$17.93
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$33.21
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$30.91
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$33.68
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$41.83
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$85.4
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+132.6%+$114
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16.8
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.7
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.29
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$68.76
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$27.82
Coventry City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$22.1
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+233.3%+$46.67
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$23.52
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47.89
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+37.2%+$104.18
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Nigeria vs. Mozambique: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$44.21
Will Italy vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Serbia win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$45.39
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Georgia win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+26.6%+$16.8
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+185.7%+$92.86
Will Kazakhstan win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Montenegro win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Finland vs. Malta end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+37%+$36.62
Europe World Cup Qualifiers Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$75.6
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+212.5%+$204
Will Italy win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+73.9%+$76.5
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$27.3
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$52.5
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+58.2%+$74.95
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.28
Bruins vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jets vs. Canadiensbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Stars vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$40.89
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.49
Jets vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Wild vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.6
Capitals vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+114.5%+$173.14
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$205
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$26.73
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$247.5
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$308
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$78
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$28.17
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+127.1%+$251.07
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$587.23
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+87.8%+$70.11
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+113.3%+$531.24
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$483.73
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+30.4%+$287.33
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.37
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.58
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.78
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$9.2
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$16.63
Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+46.5%+$22.85
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Louisville Cardinals vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$14.59
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-60.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$258.4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$203.9
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$92.05
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+94.5%+$426.48
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$28.8
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+42.9%+$66
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+35.6%+$56.66
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$185.77
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick33cpaid-87.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.7
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.35
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$176
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100.8
Will Solana reach $150 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100.8
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Solana reach $240 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.98
CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Real Racing Club vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$25.88
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$16.52
Spread: Atletico Madrid (-1.5)backed Atletico Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$51.12
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+267.6%+$364
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$136
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+412.6%+$699.11
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+28.2%+$10.59
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$76.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-47.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49.91
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+197.6%+$118.57
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$201
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,204.2
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+73.4%+$635
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.98
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.73
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.6
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$589.7
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$516.6
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$249.2
DeepSeek banned in US before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-69.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$16.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$79.91
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$60.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$39.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$135.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.