TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$717,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $717,596 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c474,560$248,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248,095.052055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c200,960$95,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,599.4450149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under48c125,000$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,0008940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under47c93,840$44,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,735.121163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c33,530$17,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,864.464,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b37…3b3ebacked Over50c31,002$15,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,501.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under48c30,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,6004247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc540…f7e5backed Over53c21,494$11,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,391.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.9217252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c15,101$7,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,789.582,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Over50c12,578$6,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,326.0415034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c12,500$6,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,47524145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under48c10,019$4,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,160.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.989625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.983946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Over52c9,637$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c9,500$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Under47c8,000$3,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2101735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf58c…4dffbacked Under50c7,600$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under49c7,294$3,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,690.791136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5005757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over53c6,038$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2007439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under50c5,764$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,909.4635054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under50c5,600$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8001070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under49c5,306$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.121442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0539…46c9backed Under49c4,961$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,530.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over53c4,717$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002524%6 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c4,658$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.921,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c4,305$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.91330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Under48c4,095$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.571080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+57.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Over54c4,083$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.241040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef7d…a3f0backed Over53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under48c2,942$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.683345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c2,316$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15820054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under49c2,294$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under49c2,200$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1301844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under47c2,150$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1291747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under47c2,107$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.464434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.054645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Under49c1,902$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.33944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c1,237$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.648756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over51c1,088$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55011345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.823148.4%15 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c1,063$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.733,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under48c1,032$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.9711146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50020159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over53c919.37$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.2732545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over52c800$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b97…0d79backed Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9618…6409backed Under50c748$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over34c735.26$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.997440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35012954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8778…83b5backed Over2c694.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over51c686.27$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under50c640$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c622.64$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3309564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under48c617.06$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.2520245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c607.84$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3106238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-46.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25027652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25511929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25031751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2457750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over53c415.09$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20019750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Over50c393.78$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.452755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under48c375$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under51c359.76$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2812951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c353.56$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9542851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17514244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under47c324$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.110947.7%52 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under48c321.75$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3111853.4%63 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14731745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15029053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15018152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under50c300$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.54755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.