TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9385…2484

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT9352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.53
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.49
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$178.83
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.44
Kings vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$41.65
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$246.17
Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.96
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$107.1
Spread: Jazz (-5.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.73
Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$197.85
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.95
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.23
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$201.57
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.4
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$706.97
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$533.13
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.32
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$235.16
Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.47
Spread: Hawks (-12.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.03
Spread: Magic (-12.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.77
Spread: Magic (-13.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.83
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.89
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.04
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,003.91
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.39
CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$970.33
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)backed Levante UD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$184.65
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.86
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.51
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$205.31
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$199
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+64.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-67.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+61.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.09
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$178.78
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$494.39
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$193.21
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$308.38
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$95.36
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Italy vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$406.64
Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$247.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$688.6
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Potapova (+1.5)backed Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$101.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$398
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,079.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$216.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.