TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,858 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No56c5,862$3,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,254.974,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed1…e515backed Yes49c3,986$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0b…446bbacked Yes49c2,588$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb92…af8fbacked No51c2,265$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3272…54c8backed No51c2,187$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d3…5a11backed No51c2,121$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes51c2,090$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.1811146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e7…68d2backed No51c1,427$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-73.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes34c1,265$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.2710629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes51c1,080$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.4426550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c905.27$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.422,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes34c882.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.3521641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked No52c880.22$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.53330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-41%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes65c840.03$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.3637829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5be9…8e34backed No15c700$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed No51c691.88$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d63…ed55backed Yes39c667.36$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.09922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-54.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No50c666.42$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.4617032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes71c555.55$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5713969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked No16c465$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes49c452.88$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9750449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed No16c445.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.512913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20015446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20013054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No49c381.44$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.691,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes35c304.12$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.363,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No49c302.27$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1164046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6a6…204dbacked Yes50c294.12$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes40c272$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.23865.8%25 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No50c266.05$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0389050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1622939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked No20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid+7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No51c248.2$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.081,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Yes51c234.94$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.122931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes48c218.65$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7850149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes47c212.23$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.757851.3%40 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked No50c204$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011264.3%72 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009056.7%51 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed No12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Yes50c199.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.994755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes50c199.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.696344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed No52c178.38$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdeb4…9854backed No21c143.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid+291.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes49c143$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9335148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Yes65c142.31$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.31922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-67.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked No15c140.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7750%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No51c136.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8528847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes59c132.39$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5228446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes48c129.91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3824344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed No16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26412.5%8 W · 56 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3469…3676backed Yes50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked No48c117$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.164548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes38c116.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0917541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes42c115$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.86350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked Yes26c113$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.62771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick36cpaid+117%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66fe…2fbfbacked Yes51c110.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+86.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd3…7c5dbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa39f…0af2backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605529.1%16 W · 39 L-7.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624540%18 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.047855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes48c96.92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.245841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No49c96.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2510947.7%52 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152972.4%21 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+39.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes42c89$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6513249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1329…2ae0backed Yes50c78.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x717b…5160backed Yes37c76.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.21650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes26c76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.343557.1%20 W · 15 L+9.1wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+85.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes63c69.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.898355.4%46 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes43c69.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8417466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Yes50c67.26$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.632857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes64c67.19$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.11656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Yes41c67.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.621471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Yes48c65.93$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2892254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes46c65.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.862755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed No50c62.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.426261.3%38 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes50c60.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.199354.8%51 W · 42 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed No20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129611.5%11 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked Yes52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adc…54e1backed Yes51c56.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes29c55.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed No49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256251.6%32 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49a4…0f15backed Yes51c50.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2513157.3%75 W · 56 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ab…649abacked No50c49.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes34c49.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4457252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed No51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f7…4330backed No50c48.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3924757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa527…ae88backed No50c47.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe856…4711backed No50c44.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+89%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.