TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc3e7…68d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,653Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$3,516.77
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$6,331.11
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$978
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$963Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$963
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,035Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,590
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,261.13
Devils vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,640
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,628
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,294.19
Wild vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,320
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,712Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,712.17
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$834.69
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.14
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$225.87
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.63
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,525.78
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,770
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,355.16
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,740Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,213.93
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$893Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$892.51
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,372
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,016Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,657.68
All 7 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+76.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-73.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+143.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,415Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$353.75
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$529
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,317.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Pavel Kotovbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,521Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$454.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.