Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb44944f0177a7c3638e25251a2803a587c02da5946bbe845b7df9f19a3819bc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2956…d31bbacked Yes | 23c | 7,035$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4af1backed No | 77c | 5,043$3,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 3,456$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.13 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 2,546$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.77 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 24c | 2,386$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.64 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 76c | 1,995$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…68d2backed No | 77c | 1,975$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 19c | 1,800$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.35 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 23c | 1,642$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.66 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 1,329$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Yes | 24c | 992.3$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 948.77$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.98 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 642.69$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.67 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 24c | 593.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.38 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 7c | 539.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75af…145fbacked No | 76c | 517.44$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…2d95backed Yes | 26c | 415.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes | 24c | 404.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 389.93$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 336.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 23c | 298.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 292.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Yes | 5c | 259.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 26c | 251.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 23c | 214.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 75c | 204.39$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 6c | 198.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbb…f77cbacked Yes | 20c | 186.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 24c | 139.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 132.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…e595backed No | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 27c | 99.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 75.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 72c | 74.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 73c | 71.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 74c | 59.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 23c | 59.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 57.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…00afbacked Yes | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 26c | 56.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 23c | 50.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…63dfbacked Yes | 25c | 45.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 24c | 41.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 76c | 32.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…8d7ebacked No | 75c | 29.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 75c | 26.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…37bcbacked No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…02e6backed No | 79c | 16.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 76c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-09?No won
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.