Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1216f2085c69084a1014af38e092984e1e1d2597aa41e94f7e18d5bb340d1b37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 0c | 9,689$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…3f60backed Yes | 0c | 6,619$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 4,109$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.41 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 2c | 2,304$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…3906backed Yes | 11c | 2,152$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,634$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 16cpaid | +254.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,242$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.35 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes | 15c | 998.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 15c | 998.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 15c | 632.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 15c | 629.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…7acabacked Yes | 16c | 607.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 15c | 565.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 17c | 561.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 15c | 316.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fc…a5f2backed Yes | 15c | 316.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 15c | 316.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 16c | 296.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 293.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…d39abacked Yes | 12c | 291.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 15c | 291.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0aa…d07ebacked Yes | 4c | 277.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 15c | 265.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 15c | 221.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 12c | 215.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d0…8db8backed Yes | 16c | 207.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 12c | 190$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…a136backed Yes | 16c | 189.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 15c | 182.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 16c | 163.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes | 15c | 158.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 15c | 158.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 149.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 16c | 148.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 33cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…f481backed Yes | 16c | 141.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 15c | 132.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…6dd2backed Yes | 15c | 131.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc45c…488abacked Yes | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 15c | 122.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…271fbacked Yes | 15c | 120.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 37cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…610dbacked Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked Yes | 16c | 104.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…82edbacked Yes | 16c | 94.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…ea3fbacked Yes | 15c | 94.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Yes | 15c | 94.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…feb2backed Yes | 16c | 92.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 14c | 86.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Yes | 15c | 85.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76f6…21bebacked Yes | 17c | 74.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa9…5c8ebacked Yes | 15c | 73.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa736…e430backed Yes | 15c | 69.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e4…f9c9backed Yes | 16c | 68.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-09?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?No won
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.