TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,607,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,572,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,607,663 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x36a3…fafbbacked Yes63c1,219,476$767,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,552.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No37c301,400$110,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,806.043046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed No37c158,174$58,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,773.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes60c105,888$63,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,553.122653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No37c99,689$36,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,884.9211246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No37c90,326$33,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,657.611233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No37c78,609$29,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,085.31442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No39c75,844$29,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,391.15947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No36c69,264$24,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,920.44544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No37c56,233$20,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,806.211942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c48,818$17,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,517.63,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No38c40,514$15,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,299.333641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes62c34,367$21,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,059.282161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed No37c29,009$10,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,733.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No37c26,369$9,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,756.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No37c25,579$9,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,464.31546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No38c24,315$9,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,154.0644952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No38c21,115$8,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,023.621643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked No42c20,323$8,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,577.9825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No37c18,616$6,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,887.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No37c18,376$6,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.191533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No37c18,048$6,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,677.76742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No37c18,000$6,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6602540%10 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No30c14,907$4,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,427.0112057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked No37c13,520$5,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c13,162$4,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,921.222,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes57c11,259$6,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,841.491,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed No38c11,047$4,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,197.811650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No37c10,400$3,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8485156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed No36c9,016$3,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,245.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No16c8,572$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.8576941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes77c8,514$6,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.4684850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes58c8,434$4,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,542.4875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked No37c8,027$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,972.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No42c7,525$3,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,160.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked No37c6,776$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,507.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed No38c6,258$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.121631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No40c6,238$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,507.771136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No37c5,729$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.73850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Yes63c5,183$3,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-73.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No37c4,800$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No37c4,536$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.323240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed No43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No15c3,932$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.862759.3%16 W · 11 L+7.2wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+79.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No37c3,891$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.676753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No38c3,851$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.466858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No39c3,742$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.561136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c3,380$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.01195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-79.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No37c3,273$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.011050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No38c3,021$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.02944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes65c3,020$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+60.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd38f…0f83backed No40c2,998$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No30c2,945$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.682,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes61c2,930$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No37c2,912$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.173542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No37c2,833$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.221258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No38c2,586$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.5274155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No38c2,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.982737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes59c2,493$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.152958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked No39c2,408$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No40c2,314$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes57c2,169$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.573250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8204261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed No41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8201414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-72.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.994369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.992123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-55.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes62c1,955$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.081957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed No5c1,886$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.33321.2%7 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No37c1,840$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.81526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed No38c1,783$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No40c1,711$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.442740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No40c1,659$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.0414552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b85…a3e9backed Yes61c1,596$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes61c1,584$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.744141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed No3c1,573$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.09150%0 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No40c1,442$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.4511443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No41c1,305$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.8896947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x282f…e110backed No40c1,284$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No40c1,242$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.841,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No40c1,213$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.931,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes61c1,201$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.291266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+47.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes62c1,175$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.612740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No39c1,106$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.074461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked No38c1,044$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.671450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb9a…4d42backed No4c1,010$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004420.5%9 W · 35 L-11.8wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.5%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked No37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No39c999.98$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No38c988.98$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.061,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No37c962.2$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.012951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No6c943.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6212336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes63c931.24$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No38c888.33$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4569448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No34c883.35$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5720048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No37c862$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.942634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f46…98fcbacked No8c833.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9450%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No39c827.77$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.2614654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No38c824.94$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.366150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.