TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01ba…d35f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,696.34
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$9,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,269.64
Spread: Heat (-15.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,336.96
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11,538Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,537.5
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,466Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+186.3%+$6,457.14
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$3,995.96
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+300%+$6,000
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,149.99
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,279.44
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+177.8%+$2,559.99
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,527.81
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,129.98
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$2,385
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,060Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+167%+$3,439.97
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,471
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,020
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,080
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,790Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+258.4%+$7,209.99
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$708.61
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+354.5%+$3,899.99
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,966Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,966.29
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,048Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+365.2%+$7,480.59
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+284.6%+$2,960
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,578Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,577.88
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,680
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,393.82
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,199.98
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,755Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,754.79
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,090.38
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$959.99
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$651.5
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,482.59
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+58.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+95%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+44.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.6
Will Canada win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,653.24
Canada vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,079.97
Canada vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,555.95
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+118.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+56.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+185.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+301.3%+$463.34
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$243.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+322.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+322.5%+$579.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.