TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Yes61c12,499$7,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,678.971650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked No38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,199.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+58.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes62c9,110$5,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,629.271,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No38c9,000$3,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,581.5251749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed No36c3,501$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.5618352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No41c3,164$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.695736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b85…a3e9backed Yes64c2,458$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.961136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked No38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c1,993$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.868,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No48c1,192$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.266355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes65c1,054$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.313257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No39c1,010$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.441,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e9…f5eabacked No38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6201100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes64c927.52$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.6142962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes50c872.4$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.4511245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No46c648.25$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.511,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No58c606.09$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.074637%17 W · 29 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No37c599.99$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.9933745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Yes53c556.62$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes50c554.37$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.7984943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…1601backed Yes49c537.48$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c7…87d5backed Yes60c521.23$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes52c515.48$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.0510155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes59c499.99$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29511963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No56c499.25$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.731,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Yes50c478.14$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.071127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick58cpaid-59.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked No43c449.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0510750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes59c448.96$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.882,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No38c410$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.617560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No46c394.83$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.453333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No42c375.96$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0613545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes52c357.59$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9526965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked No50c346.18$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes59c330.64$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.087047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd331…387fbacked Yes62c329.08$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.692035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No38c322$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6430754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes59c319.79$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.683046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes63c310.96$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.97852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes37c298.63$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.411154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes57c297.69$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.097839.7%31 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes49c296.59$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4440242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1f4…b692backed Yes61c274.58$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes58c261.94$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.591,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes54c258.97$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8618140.3%73 W · 108 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x610b…b5b2backed Yes32c251.51$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.514339.5%17 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes59c245.65$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.082,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No37c238$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.882,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes50c216.02$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.011241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes55c213.8$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.538247.6%39 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No44c206.76$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8548922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes48c203.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6646530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61e…a10bbacked No63c202.5$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.462871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes52c190.29$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9531355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes65c188.41$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.373135.5%11 W · 20 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No43c179.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.655155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes52c169.19$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9833658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No48c168.39$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6347756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes59c165.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.549831.6%31 W · 67 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No48c163.03$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9641256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No44c160.34$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.483,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No41c159.49$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.13151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No47c147.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6928158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No39c146.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3512361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No38c140.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1233560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ec9…b76bbacked No54c136.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.652138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No38c124.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.181,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No47c124.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7523254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No47c113.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9357157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No49c109.63$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4547758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No45c105.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.648268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No48c105.09$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed No40c105$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30ae…8c31backed Yes61c104.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9943…a363backed Yes63c103.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.51866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes52c101.54$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.86352.4%33 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick37cpaid+186.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6a7…0af9backed No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes59c99.19$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.525438.9%21 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2015…0eaabacked Yes59c99.18$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.511118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4de…424cbacked Yes58c97.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes60c97.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.567862.8%49 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b1…cf21backed Yes59c97.54$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed No58c97.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Yes56c97.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.521526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.8wins-0.32per pick59cpaid-59.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No48c96.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3851654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No39c94.74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.75058%29 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes49c93.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.941136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb803…8744backed Yes52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes64c91.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.77955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.626142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No70c82.57$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5744843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked No41c82.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.585549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes63c79.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84c…efd5backed No41c67.62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No43c67.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.419340.9%38 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No65c62.43$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6218338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e6a…0602backed Yes64c60.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a9…c9a5backed No41c60.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc202…8488backed Yes61c56.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.181266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+78.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.