South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85f44b41e1c8c41dc1e08c60e73397dd233a8d6429250d06cdbd93b991c81338
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 72c | 5,654$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 2,160$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 66c | 1,194$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 26c | 999.75$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.81 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 70c | 985.47$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.64 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 28c | 951.05$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.3 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 41c | 755.88$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.7 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 28c | 755.1$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.43 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 63c | 672.76$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.45 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 479.15$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.57 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked No | 28c | 423.38$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 25c | 364.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.09 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 32c | 332.64$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 32c | 326.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 32c | 326.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 32c | 326.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 32c | 326.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 32c | 326.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 32c | 326.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 33c | 294.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 74c | 286.21$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 262.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.68 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 30c | 186.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 30c | 175.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Yes | 74c | 150.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 28c | 136.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…0dc3backed Yes | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Yes | 74c | 132.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 22c | 102.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 24c | 99.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 99.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 28c | 92.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked No | 25c | 92.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked No | 28c | 91.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 43c | 89.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 69.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…cf83backed No | 77c | 68.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c1…9c76backed Yes | 73c | 63.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 30c | 60.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 71c | 48.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 33c | 47.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked No | 74c | 46.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 28c | 45.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 30c | 44.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4240…0df4backed Yes | 75c | 39.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 74c | 38.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Yes | 76c | 38.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 27c | 37.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…98fcbacked No | 54c | 36.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 67c | 35.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 75c | 29.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 75c | 29.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 75c | 29.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 75c | 29.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 75c | 29.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed No | 75c | 29.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 75c | 29.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 75c | 29.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked No | 75c | 29.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 75c | 29.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 75c | 29.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 75c | 29.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 75c | 29.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed No | 38c | 28.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 75c | 27.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked No | 75c | 27.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 75c | 26.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 75c | 26.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked No | 75c | 26.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf260…5f85backed Yes | 74c | 24.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 63c | 20.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked No | 75c | 20.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 78c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 74c | 19.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed No | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…0820backed No | 74c | 15.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 75c | 14.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 75c | 14.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-09?No won
- Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-04-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.