Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa2d10e4bb4b314d9e122465b8fb8787355d7c7d6f17d98c1261c6cc09c83236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,362 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 69c | 89,669$61,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,831.7 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 54,791$15,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,504.53 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.86 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Yes | 32c | 18,481$5,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,854.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 12,276$3,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.99 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 69c | 12,000$8,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.97 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 11,683$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.4 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.57 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 69c | 9,900$6,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.99 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 69c | 7,105$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.56 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 31c | 6,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Yes | 56c | 4,692$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 31c | 3,964$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.84 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 70c | 2,465$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.37 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 31c | 2,264$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.84 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 33c | 2,098$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.36 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 31c | 1,686$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.75 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 1,610$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,590$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.89 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Yes | 32c | 1,504$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 37c | 1,450$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.5 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed No | 67c | 1,380$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 8c | 1,292$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed No | 70c | 1,286$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed No | 70c | 1,150$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 27c | 1,104$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.32 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 63c | 1,021$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.72 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…0f33backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 12c | 981.11$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 22c | 907.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 907.72$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.01 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 10c | 870.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 69c | 708.7$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.85 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 32c | 701.22$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 46c | 543$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.22 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 31c | 533$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.23 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 529$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.33 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…77fdbacked No | 67c | 526.32$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 31c | 511.13$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.45 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e5…b77abacked Yes | 21c | 490.71$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 70c | 486.45$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.29 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 68c | 459.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 36c | 428.19$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.66 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 423.89$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.34 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 414.63$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.68 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 48c | 405$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.93 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 8c | 387.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf771…8d65backed Yes | 32c | 387.62$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…389bbacked Yes | 32c | 379.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1046…7041backed Yes | 32c | 368.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 9c | 330.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Yes | 30c | 329.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…4530backed Yes | 31c | 325.68$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…b4e1backed Yes | 53c | 323.91$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 31c | 320$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…7eb3backed Yes | 9c | 311.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 22c | 308$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked No | 69c | 287.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 15c | 273.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8043…5f89backed Yes | 32c | 263.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Yes | 31c | 262.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…8cebbacked Yes | 31c | 255.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…e885backed Yes | 32c | 237.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 38c | 228.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 69c | 218.78$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed No | 70c | 214.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked No | 70c | 205.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 28c | 204.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed No | 69c | 192.9$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…a324backed Yes | 31c | 190$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 69c | 186.42$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 31c | 184.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…7e5cbacked No | 70c | 182.16$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 53c | 172.89$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 15c | 171.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 33c | 166.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 69c | 162.36$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed No | 69c | 161$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 69c | 158.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 32c | 156.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed No | 64c | 155.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f1…d04cbacked No | 69c | 149.38$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 44c | 148.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a5…4c43backed No | 70c | 143.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed No | 70c | 142.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 31c | 140.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Yes | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…91f4backed No | 69c | 135.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fe…a4bdbacked No | 69c | 133.65$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 22c | 132.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…b37abacked No | 69c | 131.44$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa963…df11backed No | 69c | 129.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.