Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9343dfcbed1af6d60099c78f99e3f16d6317206a8b19ecd693788bef19454372
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $594,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,489 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 41c | 208,033$85,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,269.69 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 59c | 44,648$26,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,305.68 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 59c | 44,425$26,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,214.25 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 29,452$17,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,972.33 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 28,634$15,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,536.41 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 59c | 24,250$14,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,943.05 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 59c | 24,017$14,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,846.97 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 59c | 21,686$12,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,891.18 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Yes | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 59c | 19,344$11,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,931.04 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked No | 60c | 19,259$11,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,703.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 40c | 19,208$7,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,683.2 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 59c | 13,405$7,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,495.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 31c | 11,001$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.3 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 43c | 10,000$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 59c | 9,997$5,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.77 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 41c | 7,427$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.46 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 7,287$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.82 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 60c | 7,246$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 59c | 6,960$4,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 80c | 6,297$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.24 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 39c | 6,294$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 59c | 6,003$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 60c | 5,209$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.83 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed No | 59c | 5,121$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 5,026$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.57 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked Yes | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.98 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 4,905$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.38 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed No | 60c | 4,760$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Yes | 42c | 4,167$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 42c | 4,000$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed No | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…34e4backed No | 59c | 3,920$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 60c | 3,075$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.67 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 59c | 2,695$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 59c | 2,453$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.54 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 58c | 1,775$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.38 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Yes | 73c | 1,725$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 1,704$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.07 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 1,588$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.63 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Yes | 40c | 1,504$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 20c | 1,502$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 22cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 40c | 1,275$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.9 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 43c | 1,270$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.02 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 72c | 1,201$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.98 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked No | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 58c | 1,130$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.04 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 41c | 1,090$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.85 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes | 73c | 1,068$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 75c | 1,005$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.48 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Yes | 41c | 970.7$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…30d8backed Yes | 32c | 943.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…7eb3backed Yes | 8c | 855.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed No | 60c | 840$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.3 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 826.59$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.02 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 39c | 807.81$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 59c | 763$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.47 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Yes | 41c | 732.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 665.94$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.83 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 60c | 643$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.2 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 613.65$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.91 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 47c | 535.15$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.98 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 57c | 531.53$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.02 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked No | 60c | 483.61$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.61 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Yes | 42c | 476.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 41c | 450$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 59c | 447.6$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.72 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 38c | 422.74$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.64 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 65c | 406.27$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.32 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 32c | 383.36$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 79c | 378.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 41c | 370$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9192…92acbacked No | 59c | 341.3$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Yes | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 78c | 313.25$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.05 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c20…8521backed Yes | 40c | 309.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 16c | 306$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 23c | 300$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed Yes | 27c | 283.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked No | 59c | 268.05$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…a6b5backed No | 60c | 256.32$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b44…21c2backed No | 60c | 246.87$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 5c | 245$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.