Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2335977c78847a989943ff0a1d201a91b2da259b24f8f5715c51dd8524e99b6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,527 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 29c | 11,020$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,831.94 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 6,817$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.85 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…5448backed No | 72c | 5,655$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 29c | 4,832$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 4,746$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.4 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 32c | 4,447$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.04 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 3,437$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.71 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 62c | 3,028$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.88 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cbcdbacked Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 2,874$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.33 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 1,627$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.98 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,554$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.49 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 71c | 1,473$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.63 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…580bbacked No | 72c | 1,390$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 73c | 1,362$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.72 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…d15dbacked No | 72c | 1,335$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 48c | 1,082$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.7 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…6543backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 38c | 970.2$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.84 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 40c | 953.25$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.22 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 28c | 942.4$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.53 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 72c | 774$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.28 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 26c | 705.79$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.75 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 23c | 700$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…feefbacked No | 72c | 666$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 22c | 654.93$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.9 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed Yes | 16c | 596.12$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +183.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 32c | 542.81$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.37 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e5…f012backed Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 48c | 504.75$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fb…3557backed Yes | 29c | 478.65$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 459.11$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.3 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc305…d80dbacked Yes | 29c | 435.62$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +168.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 28c | 424.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 417.6$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa63…261fbacked Yes | 29c | 379.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +176.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 72c | 375.63$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.18 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes | 29c | 345.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 75c | 321.55$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 77c | 302$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.1 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 27c | 300$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.57 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 63c | 297.46$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.23 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 28c | 276.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 20c | 254.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.9 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 30c | 241.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.42 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 29c | 241.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.31 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 29c | 212.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed No | 30c | 210$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked No | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…6089backed No | 72c | 182.71$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 24c | 175.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 175$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…a8b1backed Yes | 29c | 174.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…e32ebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…fc39backed No | 72c | 159.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…570cbacked No | 72c | 158.75$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd745…223abacked Yes | 36c | 156.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 27cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…5d61backed No | 72c | 150.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…37f2backed No | 72c | 149.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked No | 49c | 146.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…3e54backed No | 72c | 141.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 28c | 140$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…80b1backed No | 72c | 136.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1588…357cbacked No | 72c | 135.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…5dd3backed No | 72c | 134.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e5…b77abacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 69c | 129.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 29c | 124.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 27c | 116.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 27c | 112.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 28c | 111.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…6861backed No | 72c | 104.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes | 29c | 103.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 52c | 101$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9f…b8cebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c870backed Yes | 72c | 99.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…06a3backed Yes | 27c | 95.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 28c | 92.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked No | 72c | 90.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 88.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…4761backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce2…ce36backed No | 63c | 82.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.