TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xce72…cbef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
207
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$692.01
Will England finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.08
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.41
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.9
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$489.1
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+291.4%+$498.84
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$24.25
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$96.8
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$70.13
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26.35
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$51.68
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.08
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.44
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$70.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.7
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$115.12
Will Girona FC vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$53.86
Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31.9
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.54
Will CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,064.25
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.03
Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.46
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.37
UD Las Palmas vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
CD Mirandés vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+161.7%+$485.17
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$68.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60.3
All 18 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-55.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$45.5
Will CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)backed AA Argentinos Juniors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$82.41
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,718.04
EC Vitória vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mazatlán FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$32.26
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)backed CR Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$104.18
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)backed SE Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Botafogo FR vs. Barcelona SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.48
Will CF América win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will CF América vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)backed The New Saints FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$226.22
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$101.15
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,362Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$3,178
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$960.31
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,092Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$290.3
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+324%+$331.75
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.73
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$44.3
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$31.77
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$351.35
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.17
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)backed Fulham FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$607.72
Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.02
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$111.59
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$646.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,543Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,543
Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$136
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.06
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.25
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$879.06
Will SS Lazio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.72
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$74.26
Will SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.86
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.31
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$467
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+270.5%+$984.54
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)backed Parma Calcio 1913 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145.41
Will Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$194.12
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$79.2
Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.85
Will Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.28
Will Telstar 1963 vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will PSV win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$991.44
FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.18
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+571%+$1,142.08
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+316.7%+$133.22
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$224.39
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Helsingin JK win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$36.54
Will AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$50.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.86
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,485.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.