TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,910 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d11…c449backed Yes27c20,309$5,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,825.552725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c9,255$6,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,756.6198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c8,055$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,959.7368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed No48c6,231$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed No74c5,405$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c4,906$3,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,551.532,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c4,141$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.6296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes27c3,436$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,508.288042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed No74c2,011$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4882948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes27c1,935$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.531827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Yes27c1,850$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.61546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes27c1,348$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.541154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa394…89e9backed Yes27c1,297$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No74c945.17$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.431822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No55c891.14$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.1616838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes26c722.91$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.244753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaed…580bbacked No74c674.32$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes78c665.58$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No8c550$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.220033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes27c517.17$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.583828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes62c492.76$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Yes79c453.7$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes70c427.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.081275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No6c342.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6920431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c332.69$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8641854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed Yes27c310.74$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.042540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…b37abacked Yes27c305.79$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.037958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed6f…2378backed Yes27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.2540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.051435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10515450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6538…0a4dbacked No74c294.52$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.751844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.124254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Yes28c281.79$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.89825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes27c273.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae6f…8a1bbacked No51c270.55$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.981145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes26c249.21$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No73c226.3$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.433638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No73c219$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.873754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes27c216$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.683426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked Yes27c210$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.32536%9 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bfc…fd26backed Yes27c210$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.32045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes70c201.56$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.833259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes28c200$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.68058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c183.81$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1842347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes29c170.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.817237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No73c153.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4126040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes27c150$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.59542.1%40 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed No37c149.19$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5514351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6635…9279backed Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No72c140$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.823353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes27c136$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.349353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45e6…d6cabacked Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No33c129.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.47347.9%35 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5329…e2f3backed Yes55c119.75$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.891070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Yes27c111.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.52633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x894e…9629backed No74c107.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf65…ad03backed No74c105.39$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No36c100.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.313650%18 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf86…5394backed Yes27c100.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.05633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736040%24 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No73c99.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739944.4%44 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No73c99.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.995176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5418951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea7…0e82backed No74c92.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb350…bfb8backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.591643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x388b…25ddbacked Yes39c84.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No73c80$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.412153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8458…b67abacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0711955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes27c72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.563268.8%22 W · 10 L+8.6wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+81.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed No34c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.651353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes27c70$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.11833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked No74c67.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No74c67.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6153…75b6backed Yes54c66.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No21c66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.532458.3%14 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes46c65.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.436955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No73c65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4523245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.521741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No20c64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6814549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes44c63.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3351139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes27c62.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5414553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes27c61.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.614533.3%15 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes28c56.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0226241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.564032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No60c53.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.824136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x447f…4f2abacked Yes66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.526747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No38c49.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9418125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes27c44.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.615545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No74c44.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7713160.3%79 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.