Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9049b805e44572f6d7a6cf8e0df083125381180deb853710588aad8c32236760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,385 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 16c | 20,309$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198.85 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 19c | 7,651$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.57 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 19c | 4,710$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.67 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 4,212$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.4 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 3,050$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 19c | 2,511$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 19c | 2,134$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.45 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…30d8backed Yes | 19c | 1,054$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…795abacked Yes | 10c | 1,013$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 16c | 999.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Yes | 18c | 990.84$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.35 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…4342backed Yes | 19c | 857.89$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 853.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.21 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…9a1ebacked Yes | 18c | 548.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7ce0backed Yes | 19c | 514.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…f68ebacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 17c | 433.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 12c | 378.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 19c | 372.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 15c | 366.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 358$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0f…8e1dbacked Yes | 19c | 345.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…0390backed Yes | 19c | 309.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 10c | 306.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 19c | 289.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…4154backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 19c | 250$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 18c | 222.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c20ebacked Yes | 19c | 215.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…4059backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…6acebacked Yes | 20c | 151$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6635…9279backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 19c | 147.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…9a10backed Yes | 19c | 142.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…fd03backed Yes | 19c | 130.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…0e41backed Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…313bbacked Yes | 13c | 115.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x220b…b067backed Yes | 19c | 114$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…d67fbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…e624backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…3d2dbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…fd26backed Yes | 19c | 105.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 19c | 101$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…5394backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 19c | 95.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 17c | 93.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 19c | 79.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 18c | 65.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 19c | 53.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.