TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf938…f68e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT4431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.25
Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.56
Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$239.7
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.36
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$137.74
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$92.79
Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.67
Wizards vs. Celticsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.37
Adem Bona: Points O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+143.4%+$118.04
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.4
Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$176.09
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$260.37
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.34
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.72
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Daniil Medvedev vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs Sinnerbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Alcaraz vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set 1 Winner: Rodionov vs Romanobacked Romano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$151.63
Set 1 Winner: Kecmanovic vs Waltonbacked Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.71
Set 1 Winner: Dias vs Buenobacked Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$142.71
Santiago: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$243.09
Cherbourg: Remy Bertola vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Santiago: Gonzalo Bueno vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.46
Cherbourg: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Borna Gojobacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cherbourg: August Holmgren vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.89
Kigali 2: Marco Cecchinato vs Sandro Koppbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Philip Henningbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$194.16
Antalya 3: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Maria Lourdes Carle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kigali 2: Ryan Nijboer vs Filip Jianubacked Ryan Nijboer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Kigali 2: Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Arthur Geabacked Cesar Bouchelaghem · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.1
Cherbourg: Jurij Rodionov vs Maxime Janvierbacked Maxime Janvier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.61
Antalya 3: Maria Sara Popa vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Maria Sara Popa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kigali 2: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Eero Vasabacked Eero Vasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.13
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.24
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+143.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Evo Novo vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked Evo Novo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. CB Murciabacked CB Murcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.