TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cherbourg: August Holmgren vs Thomas Faurel

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
August Holmgrenof August Holmgren, Thomas Faurel
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,213 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0b96…b053backed August Holmgren60c5,281$3,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.422553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thomas Faurel39c2,933$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.22,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Thomas Faurel9c2,218$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.642,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed August Holmgren72c1,516$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.053,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed August Holmgren61c1,070$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.061,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Thomas Faurel14c1,065$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0128726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Thomas Faurel9c1,031$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked August Holmgren77c1,029$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.76,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Thomas Faurel11c1,018$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1716830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Thomas Faurel5c994$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.782,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…6af2backed Thomas Faurel19c959.48$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7512835.2%45 W · 83 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Thomas Faurel8c946.72$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.471,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked August Holmgren61c906.46$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.4647252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked August Holmgren62c767.07$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9355646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Thomas Faurel42c746.94$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.9643062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed Thomas Faurel15c726.67$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1092454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Thomas Faurel36c659.71$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Thomas Faurel15c640$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3661924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Thomas Faurel8c638.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7113113.7%18 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6de0…f7f1backed August Holmgren62c631.61$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.92560%15 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Thomas Faurel15c622.07$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7723429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Thomas Faurel42c598.86$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.6838739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Thomas Faurel37c569.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.996755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Thomas Faurel8c558.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.854422.7%10 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-30.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Thomas Faurel38c518.68$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.17,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Thomas Faurel40c499.6$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.771,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733f…3d6fbacked August Holmgren62c484.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.851827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Thomas Faurel40c452.95$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1836333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf938…f68ebacked Thomas Faurel26c422.65$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.892123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Thomas Faurel41c422.42$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.521,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Thomas Faurel20c422.21$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8669350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Thomas Faurel22c417.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.924,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Thomas Faurel37c399.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14843042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f9…16fbbacked August Holmgren59c373.22$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.28855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x628a…6d8fbacked Thomas Faurel6c350.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9711347.8%54 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cee…3f91backed Thomas Faurel39c309.54$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.729824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5661…6323backed August Holmgren77c303.11$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9310267.6%69 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4360…6df8backed Thomas Faurel18c301.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.911241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed August Holmgren59c297.04$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4733256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…d5a3backed August Holmgren60c278.15$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.316668.2%45 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked August Holmgren63c277.13$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1732842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed August Holmgren63c265.83$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3628147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Thomas Faurel38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Thomas Faurel39c260.48$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.491,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Thomas Faurel33c253.5$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4418233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked August Holmgren62c250.76$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2921767.7%147 W · 70 L-0.8wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed August Holmgren62c234.84$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2431643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae5…f4cabacked Thomas Faurel13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305824.1%14 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Thomas Faurel8c229.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.977,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Thomas Faurel17c224.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3984736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed August Holmgren63c217.3$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.42846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Thomas Faurel39c211.68$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.564740.4%19 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1698…adbdbacked August Holmgren63c206.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.351770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed August Holmgren66c202.48$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7762534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Thomas Faurel34c201$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3537342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ebb…7e02backed Thomas Faurel38c199.66$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.874143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Thomas Faurel41c195$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.112,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Thomas Faurel39c187$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0885748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed August Holmgren76c184.21$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9957252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf0…0d6cbacked Thomas Faurel7c174.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.991844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Thomas Faurel31c174$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0254434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Thomas Faurel40c173.31$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3216046.9%75 W · 85 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked August Holmgren60c173.28$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3129637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Thomas Faurel17c172$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0924244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Thomas Faurel38c169.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2668026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Thomas Faurel42c166.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.093647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed August Holmgren60c166.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1437351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Thomas Faurel39c159.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.837,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed August Holmgren62c159.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.791,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked August Holmgren63c156.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8148552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked August Holmgren68c147.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.692,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Thomas Faurel14c141.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed August Holmgren74c133.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.042,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Thomas Faurel42c132.37$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9921720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Thomas Faurel41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012142.1%51 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked August Holmgren60c116.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6784963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Thomas Faurel41c116.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1643058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked August Holmgren62c116$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.084247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed August Holmgren60c109.65$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8641272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Thomas Faurel38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed August Holmgren57c105$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5630844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb567…4d4abacked Thomas Faurel20c102.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked August Holmgren63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3777967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Thomas Faurel38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3824547.8%117 W · 128 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked August Holmgren59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4151539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa24…b2b4backed Thomas Faurel39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked August Holmgren63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3753457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Thomas Faurel40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027246.3%126 W · 146 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked August Holmgren63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3738268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Thomas Faurel40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029244.5%130 W · 162 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed August Holmgren61c99.43$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7834159.5%203 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…ae36backed August Holmgren64c96.88$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Thomas Faurel30c85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7497046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed August Holmgren61c82.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6265840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Thomas Faurel39c80.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.671,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Thomas Faurel38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed August Holmgren66c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.186470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5e…3c51backed August Holmgren59c76.39$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.493464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed August Holmgren62c75.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.921257.5%122 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Thomas Faurel19c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1513456.7%76 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.