TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6de0…f7f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Austin: Caty McNally vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.26
Santiago: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Andrea Collarinibacked Andrea Collarini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.75
Cherbourg: August Holmgren vs Thomas Faurelbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$240.9
BNP Paribas Open: Alexandra Eala vs Linda Noskovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,109.88
Austin: Emma Navarro vs Lulu Sunbacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Cap Cana: Francesco Maestrelli vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$291.62
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.04
Santiago: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,359.44
Phoenix: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex Boltbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$308.41
Santiago: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Bastian Mallabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$518.03
Santiago: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Thiago Monteirobacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+53%+$529.81
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,122
Santiago: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Matias Sotobacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$306.9
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,399Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$402.84
BNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartalbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
BNP Paribas Open: Maria Sakkari vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,792Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$825.65
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,860
BNP Paribas Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
BNP Paribas Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,631Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$1,447.01
Brasilia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Henrique Rochabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,272Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$828.93
Thionville: Sebastian Ofner vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,090Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$1,479.87
Antalya 2: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$245.87
Hersonissos: Harry Wendelken vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40%+$415.25
BNP Paribas Open: Laura Siegemund vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$504.3
BNP Paribas Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+67.2%+$877.32
All 25 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$515.38
US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$473.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+88%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$157.18
1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$537.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.