TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,197 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c29,425$12,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,814.132,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over63c12,330$7,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,562.061353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e9…a60cbacked Over65c11,266$7,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,984.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over45c5,582$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,070.17358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c5,176$2,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,693.5793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under35c4,856$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.4333148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4007560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over65c3,880$2,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.043053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under58c3,768$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.2534643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over65c3,644$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.345052%26 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed Under49c3,002$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.91650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under34c2,950$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.9540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under35c2,596$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.6398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over55c2,011$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.756535.4%23 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Under35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.0wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over33c1,968$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.527552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de0…f7f1backed Over66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.38366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over66c1,488$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.924575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over47c1,473$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.113158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over73c1,313$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.0410451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Under43c1,164$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-61.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6a9a…c308backed Over43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over34c1,003$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.71747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+92%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over32c999.95$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.974247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under57c840.89$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.0316838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…af03backed Over50c799.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.911369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Over66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.581250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed Over65c744.19$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over33c621.21$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.2115459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.388957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under41c585.37$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over65c511$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.858042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over44c503.55$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.3817058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Over66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.01560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over32c499.94$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.962157.1%12 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+50%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under54c472.73$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7215259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over66c456.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.467464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over35c428.57$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.571090%9 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.48per pick42cpaid+123.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under44c428.3$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.339750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over48c377.6$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7113946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over41c362$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4714549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under45c322.18$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.036245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.037954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0338…04b7backed Over66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over62c299.98$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.995236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under36c294.77$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over65c291.05$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8723353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.714344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under24c273.15$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under63c268.25$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1693435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under34c252.95$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over42c249.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14634553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over64c248.55$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4838547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over64c248.55$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4842347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under35c242.86$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8826040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc01a…b014backed Over66c233.61$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over49c204.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.553938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Over52c199.96$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.981526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over37c186.04$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.042871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Under43c185.05$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.731361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over54c185.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0418055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Over61c180$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.22556%14 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over68c176.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.477958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over32c172.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.789440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d8…b596backed Over64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.251838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under36c152.73$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under42c151.28$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0723244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e6a…5192backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under43c137.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.648752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under39c134.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.122536%9 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over76c131.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.512576%19 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4211454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.23839.5%15 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under46c116$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.368940.4%36 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over66c108.21$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2114351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under37c107.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6319542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under36c106$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.061936.8%7 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over51c99.53$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.774858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under35c97.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.823638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6292…d696backed Over48c93.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.58475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+102.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under35c92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.665254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over64c90$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.12857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over65c90$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.88158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x306f…01c7backed Over33c82.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.14837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under33c81.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1414553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa99…2281backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over66c75.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.877065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0497…c5e3backed Over32c61.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.81643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.613148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.634660.9%28 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under44c58.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6624955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9224…7807backed Under34c58.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under36c58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.883268.8%22 W · 10 L+8.6wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+81.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.552152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0338…6562backed Under42c50.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.29922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-58.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Over66c50.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.121861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.