Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdb5bdb50ce3cf93c171f8fef015efcece13cf167022b80713978ec2f6d06257
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,253 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 7,255$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.85 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.0wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 55c | 1,620$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.1 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,358$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,102$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.72 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 45c | 893.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.94 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 43c | 712.73$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.66 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…5bacbacked Yes | 32c | 470$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ce…da6ebacked Yes | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 54c | 287.15$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.06 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…75abbacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed No | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 41c | 172.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 47c | 172.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 43c | 154.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 153.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 46c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 81.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 39c | 67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc2…e5e6backed Yes | 45c | 64.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 30c | 56.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 45c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb21…eb79backed Yes | 48c | 41.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 43c | 40.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 54c | 38.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 47c | 36.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed38…a7aabacked Yes | 59c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +862.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…f93bbacked No | 57c | 35.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 52c | 33.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…2056backed Yes | 45c | 33.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…8865backed Yes | 45c | 32.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e3…3904backed No | 56c | 32.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330d…f871backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba65…3d7dbacked Yes | 48c | 31.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…1cecbacked No | 56c | 31.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 45c | 27.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 66c | 25.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa610…9d31backed Yes | 45c | 24.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…6c63backed No | 56c | 24.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 56c | 22.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b7…3dc5backed No | 56c | 21.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…fdedbacked No | 56c | 18.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.