Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79bae53f215c4404bc73ab3955ed957f2093245aeccec815b645e85a93036d37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,792 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 19c | 2,469$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.11 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 72c | 2,382$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.54 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…18f9backed Over | 38c | 1,486$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 15c | 1,249$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.15 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 32c | 969.26$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +92%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 76c | 901.71$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.77 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 11c | 843.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 18c | 600$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 66c | 303.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 69c | 285.1$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 36c | 278.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Over | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 21c | 252.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 26c | 250.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 13c | 225.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 23c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 15c | 194.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Over | 17c | 160$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 32c | 155.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 66c | 151.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Under | 76c | 129.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 33c | 112.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 10c | 110.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 75c | 106.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Over | 37c | 101.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 38c | 79.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Under | 66c | 75.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 36c | 64.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Over | 32c | 50.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 38c | 47.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 40.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Under | 69c | 28.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -76%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…25c8backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…7ec1backed Under | 67c | 22.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Under | 71c | 17.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…4fbbbacked Under | 73c | 14.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.