TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f03…dc32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT4327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+223.3%+$64.77
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+284.6%+$113.85
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$60
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.83
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$41.49
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+30.9%+$69.63
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.6%+$152.69
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$62.44
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$62.44
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Levante UD vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Levante UD vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$94.23
Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$75
CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+150%+$37.5
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+47.2%+$23.61
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+144.9%+$50.71
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+270.4%+$29.74
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$28.5
Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.74
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+46.4%+$46.45
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$61.63
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.8%+$119.6
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$23.57
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$23.13
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+61.5%+$46.13
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+53.9%+$32.32
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$110
Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+132.6%+$19.95
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.06
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$57
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+132.6%+$79.53
Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+258.3%+$105.8
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$48
SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$39
PAOK vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+138.1%+$14.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick41cpaid-85.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.17
1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$15.86
VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40.6
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Bayern München vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-77.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+158%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aster all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.